In this interview, Josh and I talk about the current trends in digital product design, and where those trends might be heading. Josh: The more complex, the more surprises. Adaptive Path UX Week Design Digital Product Design Global Moxie Jesse James Garrett Josh Clark MORE
Technology and Productivity Growth. As has been the case with past technology innovations, in the long run AI should make the economy more efficient and lead to productivity growth and higher standards of living. How can AI boost productivity? MORE
The distinction between complexity and chaos theory can be problematic depending on who you are talking with, or what you are reading. A complex world is not random nor is it arbitrary, we can manage or direct interactions to allow direction. MORE
As our markets and technologies get more complex, we need new models to get work done. However, complex systems are not fully knowable, though they can be partially understood through interaction with them. Complex problems cannot be solved alone. complexity Wirearchy Work MORE
The Times’ Paywall and Newsletter Economics » The Collapse of Complex Business Models. In 1988, Joseph Tainter wrote a chilling book called The Collapse of Complex Societies. Every one of those groups had rich traditions, complex social structures, advanced technology, but despite their sophistication, they collapsed, impoverishing and scattering their citizens and leaving little but future archeological sites as evidence of previous greatness. Clay Shirky. MORE
And I’ll be the first to acknowledge that it’s complex, as the diagram represents, but let me tease it apart for you and see if it makes sense. If it’s a complex artefact (such as a product design, not just a presentation), there could be several revisions. MORE
When I look back over my long, relatively eclectic career, complex systems have been a common theme in all the activities I’ve been involved in. It started in the 1960s, when I was an undergraduate and graduate student at the University of Chicago majoring in physics, - the study of complex natural systems. The research for my thesis was focused on the highly complex world of atoms and molecules. MORE
Let’s take a closer look at the nature of complex adaptive systems. Why are these systems so complex? I found the most satisfying answer to this seemingly Socratic question in an excellent 2002 paper - Complexity and Robustness - by professors Jean Carlson and John Doyle. MORE
Economic growth has two main components, productivity growth and the growth of the labor force. I ncreasing productivity is thus more crucial than ever to promote economic growth. From 1987 to 2004 US labor productivity grew at a 2.1% The Difficulty of Measuring Productivity. MORE
Sustaining innovations are different, because you are essentially improving existing products and services while continuing to sell to and support a similar client base. e-business was not about any one product or service. MORE
Major trends involve competing complex forces interacting with each other, making it even more difficult to ascertain where things are heading. Digital technologies, and innovative products and services specifically aimed at these markets will play a central role in their development. MORE
As social learning, collaboration, and even complexity become mainstream concepts, the array of products and services around them are becoming commoditized. I have noted in the past year clients wanting more products and fewer customized services. complexity MORE
Is it a return to centralized computing , driven by the rising complexities, management costs and energy inefficiencies of distributed systems? What do we mean by the production of services ? Production includes both manufacturing and ICT-enabled services. MORE
Twenty-thirty years ago, the business world was arguably less complex, slower moving and more predictable. Strategic planning involved looking out several years into the future, - generally three to five years, longer for technologies and products requiring extensive R&D. Once upon a time, design and manufacturing were quite distinct steps in the development of products. Firms are exploring the right balance between product and service revenue. MORE
We have known for quite a while that hierarchies are ineffective when things get complex. Most organizations still deal with complexity through reorganization. A connected enterprise starts by building a foundation of trust, embracing networks, and then managing complexity. MORE
Software-intensive systems are generally quite flexible, - able to evolve and adapt to changing product and market requirements. And, at the bleeding-edges of complexity are data-driven AI systems , which are generally based on statistical analysis and machine learning methods. . MORE
Are engineering and management schools adequately preparing students for our fast-changing, highly complex business world? Not quite, say a number of recent studies. A good education should include soft as well as hard competencies. MORE
In addition, by reaching out to financial institutions, merchants, application developers and others, Apple is helping bring together the different players in the payments ecosystem, something that’s absolutely essential to succeed in such a complex undertaking. MORE
EskoKilpi – “Learning is the main driver for productivity. Productivity of learning determines the speed of productivity improvement.” Tweet Here are some of the insights and observations that were shared via Twitter this past week. MORE
The effect is much greater potential for innovation and growth than a single product-oriented firm can generate alone.”. The importance of platforms is closely linked to the concept of network effects - the more products or services it offers, the more users it will attract. MORE
They are highly motivated to bring to market new products which offer significantly improved designs and/or lower costs, and thus gain competitive advantage and market share from the established leaders in their segment of the market. By investing in new products or processes, the company can sell them to their already large customer base and reap greater rewards faster. But, it is not enough to be large for a company to succeed at complex systemic innovation. MORE
But, after discussing a number of its benefits to business, - individual productivity, group collaboration, information insights and application development, - McAfee points out that the shift to cloud computing has been slow. Cloud computing is a highly complex initiative - at the technical, business and organizational levels. And, one of the key lessons we all hopefully learned from the dot-com era is that complex, global initiatives take time. MORE
It comes from the 1990’s but is still in use to describe the complex and chaotic world of business, politics, and technology. Complexity. ComplexityHave you heard the term VUCA ? MORE
All kinds of new products and services, like Airbnb, are now coming to market. Mass production was a defining hallmark of the 20th century industrial economy, bringing high productivity and low costs to a wide variety of offerings, - from household appliances to hotel chains. MORE
It should be contrasted with some alternatives: knowledge production as mining - on this view, data is like a raw material that is searched for and retrieved. knowledge production as growth - on this view, data is like a raw material that serves as a nutrient or growth medium. MORE
So, like many others, I have discussed services and their attributes in contrast to what they are not - physical products that are generally manufactured in factories. The distinction between products and services blurs, as physical products are increasingly embedded into service-based solutions, where the clients pay for the services they receive, not the products embodied in the solutions. He views cloud computing as being primarily a story of production. MORE
I started talking about the differences that complexity theory makes to design thinking some time ago - In Malmo at the XP conference as I remember it - and have now introduced that material in modified form onto day four of our accreditation programme. MORE
all of them having been blamed, over the course of decades, for being responsible as well for people’s lack of productivity and for getting us all far too distracted from real work. But what happens *if* playing games actually makes you *more* productive? MORE
Our relationship with knowledge is changing as our work becomes more intangible and complex. PDL – Personal Directed Learning: from Clockwork & Predictable to Complexity & Surprising. In complex environments it no longer works to sit back and see what will happen. MORE
I find it helpful to look at cloud along two key dimensions: as a technology to improve IT productivity, and as a platform for enabling business innovation. Incremental investments in productivity don’t drive growth. MORE
” @webestime – “Simple rules lead to complex behavior. ” @CharlesJennings – “in a complex world, continuous learning is the only option available to us” – Globalization, Complexity & Change. The challenges of jobs that deal with high levels of complexity and tacit interactions are best addressed through the development of core skills and capabilities, not through trying to teach sets of processes or facts. MORE
He lived a long and extraordinarily productive life until the very end. A firms is best viewed as a kind-of rather large and highly complex family. Ronald Coase , the eminent British economist and University of Chicago professor emeritus, passed away on September 2 at the age of 102. MORE
His latest, Living with Complexity , is not as landmark a book as that, but it has some very astute thinking to present. The book, as the title implies, is largely about how complexity isn’t bad, it’s necessary, and the real issue is about designing to manage it. We want powerful systems to accomplish meaningful goals, and he makes the case that this naturally requires complexity, either at the front end or at the back end. MORE
An equally optimistic view was expressed in another excellent article, - How Smart Connected Products are Transforming Competition , - published in the November issue of the Harvard Business Review by Michael Porter and James Heppelmann. . IT is now an integral part of the products themselves. MORE
An IBM Global CEO Study conducted in 2010 concluded that complexity was the primary challenge emerging out of its conversations with 1,500 CEOs and senior government officials. CEOs told us they operate in a world that is substantially more volatile, uncertain and complex. Over the past several years, we have seen a rising emphasis on design, creativity and holistic thinking in business to help us deal with an increasingly volatile, unpredictable complex world. MORE
Despite dramatic advances in technology, most of the world’s economies have been stuck in a long period of slow growth and slow productivity. We’ve long been leveraging technology to help increase productivity. MORE
His presentation was based on a paper co-written with Utrecht University economist Anna Salomons. “Is productivity growth inimical to employment?,” Their paper addressed three major questions: Has productivity growth threatened employment, especially in advanced economies? MORE
The experience is the product. Whether we talk about greeting cards, mobile apps, or vacation get-aways, the experience is the product. Many of the products we spend the most on and spend the most time with are platforms for services.) Serving experience as the product. MORE
Impose Time Limits on Specific Tasks: Oh, yes, ever since I have introduced The Pomodoro Technique to help me schedule time chunks on specific tasks, specially, rather complex ones, also even the time I spend on social networking tools, it’s made a huge difference for me. MORE
Personal Productivity (14). Can a 5-minute exercise double your productivity? How do you stay as productive as you want to be? All too often today within organisations there are misguided and overly complex ideas about getting the most out of people. Dan Pink. Contact. MORE
Beyond its use in improving the operational efficiency and financial performance of companies, the data can now be applied to significantly improve customer relationships , as well as to create whole new classes of smart products and services. MORE
It also reflects the types of networks we need to engage with in order to create value: Connectivity, Alignment, Productivity. With these established, getting work done in the formal hierarchy (Productivity Network) becomes an emergent practice of the other two networks. MORE
They generally exhibit a level of complexity that is often beyond our ability to understand and control. Not only do they have to deal with the complexities associated with large scale hardware and software infrastructures, but with the even more complex issues involved in human and organizational behaviors. . A few weeks ago, MIT professor Joseph Sussman addressed these issues in a lecture - Complex Sociotechnical Systems: The Case for a New Field of Study. MORE
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
JULY 24, 2017
Economic growth has two main components, productivity growth and the growth of the labor force. I ncreasing productivity is thus more crucial than ever to promote economic growth. From 1987 to 2004 US labor productivity grew at a 2.1% The Difficulty of Measuring Productivity.
Harold Jarche
FEBRUARY 8, 2017
It comes from the 1990’s but is still in use to describe the complex and chaotic world of business, politics, and technology. Complexity. ComplexityHave you heard the term VUCA ?
Adaptive Path
SEPTEMBER 16, 2013
The experience is the product. Whether we talk about greeting cards, mobile apps, or vacation get-aways, the experience is the product. Many of the products we spend the most on and spend the most time with are platforms for services.) Serving experience as the product.
Harold Jarche
JANUARY 24, 2013
As our markets and technologies get more complex, we need new models to get work done. However, complex systems are not fully knowable, though they can be partially understood through interaction with them. Complex problems cannot be solved alone. complexity Wirearchy Work
Dave Snowden
DECEMBER 14, 2014
The distinction between complexity and chaos theory can be problematic depending on who you are talking with, or what you are reading. A complex world is not random nor is it arbitrary, we can manage or direct interactions to allow direction.
Adaptive Path
AUGUST 7, 2014
In this interview, Josh and I talk about the current trends in digital product design, and where those trends might be heading. Josh: The more complex, the more surprises. Adaptive Path UX Week Design Digital Product Design Global Moxie Jesse James Garrett Josh Clark
Dave Snowden
OCTOBER 3, 2013
I started talking about the differences that complexity theory makes to design thinking some time ago - In Malmo at the XP conference as I remember it - and have now introduced that material in modified form onto day four of our accreditation programme.
Luis Suarez
SEPTEMBER 19, 2011
all of them having been blamed, over the course of decades, for being responsible as well for people’s lack of productivity and for getting us all far too distracted from real work. But what happens *if* playing games actually makes you *more* productive?
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
JANUARY 2, 2012
They are highly motivated to bring to market new products which offer significantly improved designs and/or lower costs, and thus gain competitive advantage and market share from the established leaders in their segment of the market. By investing in new products or processes, the company can sell them to their already large customer base and reap greater rewards faster. But, it is not enough to be large for a company to succeed at complex systemic innovation.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
JUNE 25, 2014
I find it helpful to look at cloud along two key dimensions: as a technology to improve IT productivity, and as a platform for enabling business innovation. Incremental investments in productivity don’t drive growth.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
JULY 16, 2014
All kinds of new products and services, like Airbnb, are now coming to market. Mass production was a defining hallmark of the 20th century industrial economy, bringing high productivity and low costs to a wide variety of offerings, - from household appliances to hotel chains.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
SEPTEMBER 18, 2013
He lived a long and extraordinarily productive life until the very end. A firms is best viewed as a kind-of rather large and highly complex family. Ronald Coase , the eminent British economist and University of Chicago professor emeritus, passed away on September 2 at the age of 102.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
APRIL 13, 2012
An IBM Global CEO Study conducted in 2010 concluded that complexity was the primary challenge emerging out of its conversations with 1,500 CEOs and senior government officials. CEOs told us they operate in a world that is substantially more volatile, uncertain and complex. Over the past several years, we have seen a rising emphasis on design, creativity and holistic thinking in business to help us deal with an increasingly volatile, unpredictable complex world.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
MARCH 26, 2014
Is it a return to centralized computing , driven by the rising complexities, management costs and energy inefficiencies of distributed systems? What do we mean by the production of services ? Production includes both manufacturing and ICT-enabled services.
Clark Quinn
APRIL 6, 2016
And I’ll be the first to acknowledge that it’s complex, as the diagram represents, but let me tease it apart for you and see if it makes sense. If it’s a complex artefact (such as a product design, not just a presentation), there could be several revisions.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
DECEMBER 23, 2014
Are engineering and management schools adequately preparing students for our fast-changing, highly complex business world? Not quite, say a number of recent studies. A good education should include soft as well as hard competencies.
Harold Jarche
APRIL 20, 2011
Our relationship with knowledge is changing as our work becomes more intangible and complex. PDL – Personal Directed Learning: from Clockwork & Predictable to Complexity & Surprising. In complex environments it no longer works to sit back and see what will happen.
Luis Suarez
MAY 30, 2011
Impose Time Limits on Specific Tasks: Oh, yes, ever since I have introduced The Pomodoro Technique to help me schedule time chunks on specific tasks, specially, rather complex ones, also even the time I spend on social networking tools, it’s made a huge difference for me.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
SEPTEMBER 17, 2014
In addition, by reaching out to financial institutions, merchants, application developers and others, Apple is helping bring together the different players in the payments ecosystem, something that’s absolutely essential to succeed in such a complex undertaking.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
JULY 9, 2011
When I look back over my long, relatively eclectic career, complex systems have been a common theme in all the activities I’ve been involved in. It started in the 1960s, when I was an undergraduate and graduate student at the University of Chicago majoring in physics, - the study of complex natural systems. The research for my thesis was focused on the highly complex world of atoms and molecules.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
JULY 17, 2017
His presentation was based on a paper co-written with Utrecht University economist Anna Salomons. “Is productivity growth inimical to employment?,” Their paper addressed three major questions: Has productivity growth threatened employment, especially in advanced economies?
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
APRIL 7, 2015
Software-intensive systems are generally quite flexible, - able to evolve and adapt to changing product and market requirements. And, at the bleeding-edges of complexity are data-driven AI systems , which are generally based on statistical analysis and machine learning methods. .
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
FEBRUARY 6, 2013
Sustaining innovations are different, because you are essentially improving existing products and services while continuing to sell to and support a similar client base. e-business was not about any one product or service.
Harold Jarche
JANUARY 13, 2012
EskoKilpi – “Learning is the main driver for productivity. Productivity of learning determines the speed of productivity improvement.” Tweet Here are some of the insights and observations that were shared via Twitter this past week.
Stephen Downes: Half an Hour
MARCH 17, 2010
It should be contrasted with some alternatives: knowledge production as mining - on this view, data is like a raw material that is searched for and retrieved. knowledge production as growth - on this view, data is like a raw material that serves as a nutrient or growth medium.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
JULY 12, 2012
Twenty-thirty years ago, the business world was arguably less complex, slower moving and more predictable. Strategic planning involved looking out several years into the future, - generally three to five years, longer for technologies and products requiring extensive R&D. Once upon a time, design and manufacturing were quite distinct steps in the development of products. Firms are exploring the right balance between product and service revenue.
Harold Jarche
DECEMBER 16, 2011
” @webestime – “Simple rules lead to complex behavior. ” @CharlesJennings – “in a complex world, continuous learning is the only option available to us” – Globalization, Complexity & Change. The challenges of jobs that deal with high levels of complexity and tacit interactions are best addressed through the development of core skills and capabilities, not through trying to teach sets of processes or facts.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
MAY 16, 2012
They generally exhibit a level of complexity that is often beyond our ability to understand and control. Not only do they have to deal with the complexities associated with large scale hardware and software infrastructures, but with the even more complex issues involved in human and organizational behaviors. . A few weeks ago, MIT professor Joseph Sussman addressed these issues in a lecture - Complex Sociotechnical Systems: The Case for a New Field of Study.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
APRIL 6, 2012
But, after discussing a number of its benefits to business, - individual productivity, group collaboration, information insights and application development, - McAfee points out that the shift to cloud computing has been slow. Cloud computing is a highly complex initiative - at the technical, business and organizational levels. And, one of the key lessons we all hopefully learned from the dot-com era is that complex, global initiatives take time.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
OCTOBER 20, 2011
So, like many others, I have discussed services and their attributes in contrast to what they are not - physical products that are generally manufactured in factories. The distinction between products and services blurs, as physical products are increasingly embedded into service-based solutions, where the clients pay for the services they receive, not the products embodied in the solutions. He views cloud computing as being primarily a story of production.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
JUNE 12, 2017
Despite dramatic advances in technology, most of the world’s economies have been stuck in a long period of slow growth and slow productivity. We’ve long been leveraging technology to help increase productivity.
Clay Shirky
APRIL 1, 2010
The Times’ Paywall and Newsletter Economics » The Collapse of Complex Business Models. In 1988, Joseph Tainter wrote a chilling book called The Collapse of Complex Societies. Every one of those groups had rich traditions, complex social structures, advanced technology, but despite their sophistication, they collapsed, impoverishing and scattering their citizens and leaving little but future archeological sites as evidence of previous greatness. Clay Shirky.
Clark Quinn
JANUARY 30, 2013
His latest, Living with Complexity , is not as landmark a book as that, but it has some very astute thinking to present. The book, as the title implies, is largely about how complexity isn’t bad, it’s necessary, and the real issue is about designing to manage it. We want powerful systems to accomplish meaningful goals, and he makes the case that this naturally requires complexity, either at the front end or at the back end.
Dan Pink
FEBRUARY 10, 2011
Personal Productivity (14). Can a 5-minute exercise double your productivity? How do you stay as productive as you want to be? All too often today within organisations there are misguided and overly complex ideas about getting the most out of people. Dan Pink. Contact.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
JANUARY 10, 2017
Technology and Productivity Growth. As has been the case with past technology innovations, in the long run AI should make the economy more efficient and lead to productivity growth and higher standards of living. How can AI boost productivity?
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
MAY 29, 2017
Major trends involve competing complex forces interacting with each other, making it even more difficult to ascertain where things are heading. Digital technologies, and innovative products and services specifically aimed at these markets will play a central role in their development.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
JANUARY 26, 2016
Let’s take a closer look at the nature of complex adaptive systems. Why are these systems so complex? I found the most satisfying answer to this seemingly Socratic question in an excellent 2002 paper - Complexity and Robustness - by professors Jean Carlson and John Doyle.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
MAY 22, 2017
Beyond its use in improving the operational efficiency and financial performance of companies, the data can now be applied to significantly improve customer relationships , as well as to create whole new classes of smart products and services.
Harold Jarche
MARCH 12, 2017
It also reflects the types of networks we need to engage with in order to create value: Connectivity, Alignment, Productivity. With these established, getting work done in the formal hierarchy (Productivity Network) becomes an emergent practice of the other two networks.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger
FEBRUARY 9, 2016
The effect is much greater potential for innovation and growth than a single product-oriented firm can generate alone.”. The importance of platforms is closely linked to the concept of network effects - the more products or services it offers, the more users it will attract.
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