John Hagel

The Big Shift in Business Models

John Hagel

This is a big topic in its own right (and I’ll try to cover it another blog post), but just to end with a provocation: I don’t believe advertising based business models will be sustainable in the Big Shift. In the Big Shift , we are all experiencing mounting performance pressure.

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The Future of the Gig Economy

John Hagel

I believe that all humans are intrinsically capable of this kind of creative work and I also believe that there will be unlimited demand for this kind of creative work, but this blog post has already gone on way too long so I will leave everyone in suspense and promise to address these concerns in yet another blog post. The “gig economy” has become an ever-expanding meme, clocking over 500,000 citations on Google. It’s also become an interesting barometer of sentiment.

Trending Sources

Follow the Data to Find the Money

John Hagel

The rest of this blog post will focus on some of the key principles that will form the basis for disruptive data-driven strategies. The perennial question here in Silicon Valley is: where’s the money? Given the techie culture here, this question usually gets translated into: what’s the next breakthrough technology? Let me suggest that’s the wrong way to frame the question. If you want to know where’s the money, then follow the data and don’t get distracted by the technology.

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Exploring Business Types and Business Models

John Hagel

Because I can’t pack too much into a short (well, not that short) blog, I’m going to fly at a pretty high level and hope that it will motivate you to dive deeper into the concepts. OK, I’ve created some confusion. I’ve been writing a lot recently about business models, including here and here. But I’ve also written a lot about business types/roles, including a popular Harvard Business Review article almost 20 years ago.

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The Big Shift in Platform Business Models

John Hagel

We also need to explore how the payments by customers might evolve along the three dimensions of business model evolution that I outlined in a previous blog post. As discussed in my earlier blog post , these data services could start with descriptive data but have the potential to rapidly evolve into predictive data services and, most attractive of all, prescriptive data services that advise participants on actions they can take to increase value for themselves.

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The Big Shift in Strategy - Part 1

John Hagel

Position in the future, not the present As I indicated in a couple of earlier blog posts here and here , strategies of position still matter, but I didn’t sufficiently emphasize that these new strategies need to focus on the most attractive and advantaged positions in future landscapes, not the current landscape. In an exponential world, it stands to reason that our traditional, linear approaches to strategy will need to be re-thought from the ground up.

Making a Movement: Narratives and Creation Spaces

John Hagel

This is worthy of a series of blog postings, but let me start with some brief suggestions, all driven by one of my mantras: “small moves, smartly made, can set big things in motion.”. What better day than Labor Day in the US to explore movements and narratives? Labor Day emerged directly from the powerful labor movement in the US. Throughout history, we’ve had a lot of movements that have shaped our economic, social and political arenas.

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The Big Shift in Strategy - Part 2

John Hagel

In my last blog post , I suggested that we’re going through a big shift in strategy from strategies of terrain to strategies of trajectory.    In that blog post, I made the case that strategies of terrain are increasingly dangerous in times of accelerating change, but I left you hanging in terms of what strategies of trajectory might look like.

The Unmet Need for Trusted Talent Advisors

John Hagel

Most recently, I returned to this subject in a blog post. In a world that’s changing ever more rapidly, we all need trusted advisors. It’s a significant unmet need that creates a very attractive business opportunity. This has been a central part of my research and writing for almost 20 years since I published a book on the topic, Net Worth. Today I want to make an important distinction between two major trusted advisor opportunities.

Companies and Movements

John Hagel

Before I develop the reasoning for this, let me step back and quickly re-cap the definition of movement that I offered in my earlier blog posting. On Labor Day, I posted about movements and the foundations for successful movements.    Many of the executives that I work with me gave me quizzical looks. They asked, “Why are you writing about movements? You’re a business consultant. What does this have to do with business?” Good questions. Let me see if I can offer some answers.

The Big Shift in Influence

John Hagel

In my last blog post , I talked about the increasing strategic importance of influence points for institutions.  Influence is becoming more and more challenging.   It’s hard enough to attract attention, much less retain it or use that attention to shape the behavior of others. And yet, in a world of scarce resources and mounting pressure, the ability to influence others becomes more and more central to the ability to set big things in motion.

Harnessing the True Potential of Internet of Things Technology

John Hagel

In my last blog post , I explored at a high level the likely evolution of business models in the Big Shift. Despite all the hype, businesses are still significantly under-estimating the business impact of Internet of Things (IoT) technology. Now, I'll use IoT technologies to illustrate how just one of many technologies will enable the evolution of business models. The Internet of Things space.

The Dark Side of Technology

John Hagel

I’ll lay out an alternative, much more exciting, path in my next blog post but, for now, let’s just really absorb the dark side of technology – understand it, feel it, acknowledge it and confront it. I’m going to disrupt the Silicon Valley script. You know the one. 

The Untapped Potential of Corporate Narratives

John Hagel

But I draw two critical distinctions which I’ve developed in more detail elsewhere (my early thinking on this topic is available in a blog and a SXSW talk ).   I've written about this aspect of narratives in an earlier blog posting , but the cognitive biases that narratives can overcome are: risk aversion, shortening time horizons, zero-sum views of the world and erosion of trust. 

A Contrarian View on Resilience

John Hagel

I’ll be reviewing Taleb’s book in a blog post that will go up here next week. In a world of growing uncertainty and mounting performance pressure, it’s understandable that resilience has become a very hot topic. Everyone is talking about it and writing about it. We all seem to want to develop more resilience. But I’m going to take a contrarian position and suggest that resilience, at least as conventionally defined, is a distraction and perhaps even dangerous. How can I say that?

Shift Happens

John Hagel

And, yes, this is the shortest blog post I've ever written I’m writing to announce an edge initiative from the Center for the Edge. It’s the publication of a really, really short book, “ Shift Happens ” , written by John Seely Brown and me (with the significant help of our crew at the Center), now available on Amazon (bulk orders available here ). We all know that most executives are pressed for time – it’s one of the main reasons companies fall into the “short-termism” trap.

What Is To Be Done? (Part 1)

John Hagel

This blog post will focus on the first element – passion – and in subsequent blog posts I’ll layer in the other two elements. My last post on The Dark Side of Technology definitely seems to have hit a responsive chord. Many of us see evidence of this dark side of technology every day in the world around us. But it doesn’t have to be that way. The same digital technologies producing this dark side also have the potential to produce a world of unparalleled opportunity.

The evolution of design to amplify flow

John Hagel

As with most great books, this one is impossible to summarize in a brief blog, but I will try to offer enough of a glimpse to tease you into buying and reading the book. If we want to understand the importance of flows in our world, the new book Design in Nature released this week by Adrian Bejan and J. Peder Zane is a must-read. It will literally change how you view the world – everything from snowflakes to volcanos.

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The Pull of Narrative – In Search of Persistent Context

John Hagel

  As for text, it has been progressively deconstructed from books to articles to blog postings to 140 character tweets. We live in a world of ever more change and choice , a world where we have far more opportunity than ever to achieve our potential. That kind of world is enormously exciting, and full of options. But it is also highly disorienting, threatening to overwhelm us with sensory and mental overload. 

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Great Stagnation or Big Shift? The Answer Matters

John Hagel

My next blog post will address a book that helps to make the case for urgency A new book by my old friend Tyler Cowen, The Great Stagnation , has taken the media by storm, leading Business Week to proclaim Tyler as “America’s hottest economist” , even though his book was initially published only as an e-book. 

A Welcome Call to Greatness

John Hagel

Well, that would take at least one more blog post to sketch out and perhaps a book to do it justice. "That Used to Be Us" is a welcome new book from Tom Friedman and Michael Mandelbaum.    It is an eloquent wake-up call at an important time in our history.    We will ignore it at our peril. It stands in sharp contrast to Tyler Cowen’s new book, "The Great Stagnation" , which I reviewed in my previous posting. 

Some Further Thoughts on Corporate Narratives

John Hagel

Last week, I posted a blog exploring the power of corporate narratives while challenging what most people view as a corporate narrative. This was only the latest installment in my continuing exploration of narratives that began with an earlier blog posting and a talk that I gave earlier this year at SXSW. This latest blog posting has triggered a lot of response – most of it very positive but also some strong criticism.

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Reviewing "A New Culture of Learning"

John Hagel

It would be far too ambitious to try to summarize this book in the space of a blog posting (even my long blog postings).  We all have the uncomfortable feeling that the education we received is serving us less and less well. The reassuring notion that the concentrated dose of education in our younger years would serve us well for the rest of lives appears increasingly suspect.    And this doesn’t even address our concerns for our children and grand-children. 

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: The Power of Power Laws

John Hagel

LeRoys Evolving Web Only Jay Fienberg and John Hagel make blog postings so dense and meaningful that I actually have print them out and write on them. For some reason I havent blogged about Hagel for a while. Posted by: George Albert | May 09, 2007 at 04:29 PM Love this blog.

Passion Versus Obsession

John Hagel

In a previous blog post , I asked the open question, “When does passion become obsession?” When I was a little boy, I was obsessed with chemistry.    I had a chemistry lab in my home and I could not wait to retreat to my little lab and conduct the most amazing experiments, exploring all kinds of permutations of chemical mixtures. When I was not in my lab, I was devouring chemistry textbooks. 

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Community 2.0

John Hagel

In this context, I recommend that everyone study Peter Morville’s Ambient Findability a book that I have blogged about here. Ive have similar topic at my blog!

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Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Return on Attention and Infomediaries

John Hagel

Most recently, Robert Scoble from Microsoft blogged about an epiphany he had earlier this week during a visit to Silicon Valley. This theme is further developed in a blog posting by Seth Goldstein entitled “AttentionTrust.org: A Declaration of Gestural Independence”.

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Fragility of Globalization

John Hagel

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel Exploration of emerging innovations on a broad array of edges that are rising up to challenge the core About Recent Posts The Great Reset Passion and Flow Economic Recovery? Dont Count On It.

Pareto Power and Leveraged Growth

John Hagel

My previous blog posting focused on the application of the Pareto 80/20 rule to cost restructuring.   But that is the focus of yet another blog post. The Pareto 80/20 rule can be used to drive significant cost restructuring, but it can also generate powerful leverage, enabling companies to deliver far more value to the market with far fewer resources.    In a time of increasing economic pressure, more companies are likely to discover the power of Pareto.

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Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Institutional Innovation

John Hagel

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel Exploration of emerging innovations on a broad array of edges that are rising up to challenge the core About Recent Posts The Great Reset Passion and Flow Economic Recovery? Dont Count On It.

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Mastering New Marketing Practices

John Hagel

Finally, vendors tend to develop a narrow focus on new, network-enabled marketing tools like blogs, wikis, virtual communities and social networks, treating them like a checklist to be deployed like artillery in a military campaign – “yes, we’ve set up some blogs.”

Innovation on the Edge

John Hagel

Over time, I have focused more sharply and explicitly on the importance of the edge as a source of value creation and strategic advantage – hence the title of my blog “Edge Perspectives,” the title of my most recent book (co-authored with JSB), The Only Sustainable Edge , and the name of the new research center that JSB and I lead at Deloitte – the Center for Edge Innovation.

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Hamel on Management Innovation

John Hagel

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel Exploration of emerging innovations on a broad array of edges that are rising up to challenge the core About Recent Posts The Great Reset Passion and Flow Economic Recovery? Dont Count On It.

A Labor Day Manifesto for a New World

John Hagel

For more informatin about the Big Shift and the perspectives leading to my next book, check out the Big Shift blog that I write with John Seely Brown and Lang Davison on the Harvard Business Publishing site We speak on behalf of the creatives who are passionate about their work. They experience deep frustration today with the institutional barriers that have been put in their way as they seek to more fully achieve their full potential. 

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: The Economics of Attention

John Hagel

The good news is that Goldhaber has posted a draft of one of his chapters of his long-awaited book The Emerging Attention Economy on his blog. Yesterday, 180 thousand new authors started their blogs. I wish that Richard Lanham had a comparable blog as a follow-on.

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Wasting Talent

John Hagel

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel Exploration of emerging innovations on a broad array of edges that are rising up to challenge the core About Recent Posts The Great Reset Passion and Flow Economic Recovery? Dont Count On It.

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Unbundling and Rebundling

John Hagel

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel Exploration of emerging innovations on a broad array of edges that are rising up to challenge the core About Recent Posts The Great Reset Passion and Flow Economic Recovery? Dont Count On It.

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Doc Searls and The Intention Economy

John Hagel

" Steve Posted by: Steve Hoffman | March 13, 2006 at 06:08 AM I have just found your blog after Etienne Wenger gave me one of your books. I'm thinking blogs could be part of the strategy, especially ones where the authors selflessly give what they know.

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Disney, Pixar and Jobs

John Hagel

Read More] Tracked on February 06, 2006 at 02:33 PM » More Authors Blogging from 800-CEO-READ Blog It seems that authors are starting to get blogging. The big news last week was Malcolm Galdwell dipping his toe in the blogging.

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Ambient Findability

John Hagel

The degree to which a system or environment supports navigation and retrieval For those who are interested, Morville posted a fascinating blog entry preceding his book by a few years where he explores the relationship between findability and information architecture.