The Top Ten Emerging Technologies of 2016

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

For the past several years, the World Economic Forum (WEF) has published an annual list of the Top Ten Emerging Technologies that would likely have the greatest impact on the world in the years to come. The technologies on the list are not new.

Education Technology Strategies - Day One

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

lessons scripted around 1:1 laptop); IT issues - we were a Windows network, with everything on our own domain - we needed to open eg printing etc O - consumer technology far more accessible in 2012 esp. A: standard equipment isn''t built that way, we build out systems (eg. dates to classical Greece How does technology change this? - Using technology to find more (vs.

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Technological Unemployment and the Future of Work

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Few topics are as important, - and as challenging to anticipate, - than the future of work given our justifiable fears of rising technological unemployment. One such discussion took place this past September at the The World Summit on Technological Unemployment in New York.

Complex Systems and the “Rashomon Effect”

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

But part of my fascination with the subject is that I often ask myself similar questions when thinking about the equally mysterious world of highly complex emergent systems, that is, systems where the whole can at times be quite different from the sum of their parts.

Two separate systems?

Clark Quinn

Kotter (the change management guru ), has begun to advocate for a dual-operating system approach, where companies jointly support an operational hierarchy and an innovation network that are coupled. social strategy technology

Design Principles for Complex, Unpredictable, People Oriented Systems

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

But, they do not work so well when dealing with highly complex systems with fast changing, interacting components, where it is much less clear what is going on in the present, let alone how things will evolve into the future. Design principles are particularly applicable to problems that are socio-technical in nature, that is, they involve people and technology, having to deal both with complex technical, business and societal infrastructures and human behaviors.

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Technology or preparation?

Clark Quinn

In listening to a recent presentation on the trends affecting the workplace and HR, there was mention about how organizations were using more cognitive technology, AI, etc. But one of the things I wondered was whether all the new, smart technology really would help as much as was intended or needed. Interface design people were upset about performance support systems, arguing (correctly) that performance support was being used to make up for bad system design in the first place.

Can AI Help Translate Technological Advances into Strategic Advantage?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic,” is one of the most memorable quotes of science fiction writer Arthur C. But, as we better understand its promise and limitations, technology becomes just another tool we rely on in our work and daily life.

Platforms and the New Rules of Strategy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Is it likely all 7 incumbents had failed strategies, run by clueless management, lacking execution capabilities?,” Apple (along with Google’s competing Android system) overran the incumbents by exploiting the power of platforms and leveraging the new rules of strategy they give rise to.

Blockchain - Once Again, the Technological Genie Has Been Unleashed from its Bottle

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

The original blockchain vision, - as inspired by Satoshi Nakamoto, - was limited to creating bitcoin, a digital currency and payment system whose users could transact directly with each other with no need for a bank or government agency to certify the validity of the transactions.

A Growing Backlash Against the Relentless Advances in Technology?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Given the relentless impact of technology-based innovation on just about all aspects of society, I like reading the views of different people on the subject, especially those outside my own worlds of technology and business.

Learning and Performance Support Systems

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

This post is to introduce you to our Learning and Performance Support Systems program, a new $19 million 5-year initiative at the National Research Council that I will be leading. Program Design and Scope The LPSS is designed along three technology thrusts.

Big Data, Complex Systems and Quantum Mechanics

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In thinking about this question over the last few years, I started to notice that a number of subtle, non-intuitive concepts that I learned many years ago as a physics student seem to apply to the world of big data and information-based predictions in highly complex systems. So is the world of highly complex systems , especially those systems whose components and interrelationships are themselves quite complex, as is the case with systems biology and evolution. .

Principles for Managing Strategy and Innovation

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

When technology and market environments go through major changes, as is certainly the case today, previously successful business strategies will no longer work, no matter how much you try to fix them. These questions are the subject of MIT Professor Michael Cusumano’s recent book Staying Power: Six Enduring Principles for Managing Strategy and Innovation in an Uncertain World. The book was named one of the best business books on strategy in 2011 by strategy+business magazine.

technology, change, and us

Harold Jarche

Another attribute of the most successful strategies is that they are parasitic. As Z/Yen put it earlier this year: “For many people the big story is not Bitcoin, rather it’s the blockchain technology that makes tens of crypto currencies work.

The Big Shift in Business Strategy

John Hagel

Business strategy has evolved dramatically over the past four decades in response to the Big Shift that is re-shaping our global business landscape. We’ve recently been exploring some key elements required to escape from the dark side of technology : passion , institutional innovation and movements shaped by narratives. Business strategy emerged in full force in the 1970’s and 1980’s with a strong focus on structural advantage. What would this new form of strategy look like?

The Emerging Data Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Data has been closely intertwined with our digital technology revolution since the early days of the IT industry. Ever since, digital technologies have been permeating just about every nook and cranny of the economy, society and our personal lives.

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Cognitive Systems and Big-Data-driven Applications

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In the first week of October I participated in a Cognitive Systems Colloquium hosted by IBM at its Thomas J. These systems will learn and interact to provide expert assistance to scientists, engineers, lawyers, and other professionals in a fraction of the time it now takes.” .

Online Systems for Behavior Change

Tony Karrer

But we want to push for more, so ultimately this post is asking for help, please comment or tweet (add @tonykarrer) on : What online systems have you seen that ultimately drive behavior change? What do these systems do that leads to behavior change? eLearning Technology.

How Can We Ensure that Our Complex AI Systems Do What We Want Them to Do?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Software-intensive systems are generally quite flexible, - able to evolve and adapt to changing product and market requirements. However, their very flexibility makes it difficult to adequately anticipate and test all the interactions between the various components of the system.

Payment Technologies: Past, Present and Future

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

I was reminded of this dictum when recently attending a very interesting workshop, Payment Technologies: Past Present and Future. The workshop was sponsored by UC Irvine’s Institute for Money, Technology and Financial Inclusion (IMTFI).

AI, Automation and the US Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

This report is further evidence that AI is now reaching the kind of market impact that requires well thought out strategies by both business and government. Like no other technology, AI forces us to explore the very boundaries between machines and humans.

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The Science of Complex Systems

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

When I look back over my long, relatively eclectic career, complex systems have been a common theme in all the activities I’ve been involved in. It started in the 1960s, when I was an undergraduate and graduate student at the University of Chicago majoring in physics, - the study of complex natural systems. My main research interests were centered on large computer systems, including mainframes, supercomputers and distributed systems.

Complex Sociotechnical Systems: the Case for a New Field of Study

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Digital technologies are enabling us to develop systems with huge numbers of interconnected components and sophisticated software that infuses them with seemingly unlimited capabilities. We are increasingly able to pull all these capabilities together and develop sociotechnical systems, which combine the powerful, inexpensive and ubiquitous digital technologies with the people and organizations they are transforming.

Systems Thinking, Safety and Risk Management

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Several participants cited the sharp rise in volume and speed of high-frequency trading over the past decade as an example of a current practice that is potentially increasing volatility and systemic risk in financial markets. Toward the end of the roundtable, the moderator asked us to reflect on the kinds of controls needed to make financial systems more stable and less prone to another major crisis. Financial systems are an example of such complex engineering systems.

A Useful Framework for Analyzing the Impact of Technology on Jobs

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Last week I discussed a recent Pew Research report on the impact of AI, robotics and other advanced technologies on the future of jobs. These activities are neither candidates for technology substitutions, nor can they be easily complemented with technology-based tools. .

The Simple, Economic Value of Artificial Intelligence

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In their opinion, “the best way to assess the impact of radical technological change is to ask a fundamental question: How does the technology reduce costs? As AI technologies advance, machine predictions will increasingly replace human ones in an increasing number of tasks.

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A Neural, Digital System for the Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Most everyone will agree that the world’s economy is undergoing historical structural changes , mostly caused by the digital technology revolution taking place all around us. Dr. Arthur is external professor at the Santa Fe Institute and visiting researcher at PARC’s Intelligent Systems Lab. This second, digital economy is essentially acting as the neural system for the overall economy. Now it is developing a neural system.

The top 10 opportunity costs for single source content strategy

Xyleme

When you think about your company''s digital learning content strategy, what''s the first thing that comes to mind? Granular content instantly updates on one or more Learning Management Systems.

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Corporate Survival: Lessons from Biology

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Therefore, the principles that confer robustness in these systems, whether natural or manmade, are directly applicable to business.”. Let’s take a closer look at the nature of complex adaptive systems. Why are these systems so complex?

Strategy and Execution in an Increasingly Complex World

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

I recently read a good, short article in strategy+business (s&b) , the management magazine published by the global consulting firm Booz & Company. Its title asks the question: “ Strategy or Execution: Which Is More Important? ,” to which it adds the tagline: “Many business leaders think they’d rather have great execution than superior strategies, but you can’t have the first without the second” . But, the article goes on to succinctly defines strategy as “.

Technology and the Future of Media

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Most everyone will agree that advances in information and communication technologies (ICT) are radically transforming the business landscape. Digital technologies are not only giving rise to more distributed and inclusive models, but are also enabling alternative unilateral-like models.

Becoming a Data-Driven Business: Challenges and Opportunities

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Big data ,- including analytics , data science , artificial intelligence and related information-based technologies - are now everywhere. “Is The convergence of several technology trends is accelerating progress. In short, these systems are trained rather than programmed.”.

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What’s the Value of Blockchain?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Such real-world use cases are particularly important when introducing a new, complex set of technologies in the marketplace. They’re the best way of getting on the learning curve for the new technologies as well as of explaining the kinds of problems they help us address.

Digital Identity - the Key to Privacy and Security in the Digital World

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

From time immemorial, our identity systems have been based on face-to-face interactions and on physical documents and processes. But, the transition to a digital economy requires radically different identity systems.

Digital Twin: Bringing the Physical and Digital Worlds Closer Together

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

A Digital Twin is essentially a computerized companion to a real-world entity, be it an industrial physical asset like a jet engine, an individual’s health profile, or a highly complex system like a city. Each is a major transformative technology in its own right.

Becoming a 21st Century Digital Tinkerer

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Our educational system has long been based on the assumption that learning is mostly about acquiring knowledge as well as critical skills to enable us to apply whatever we learned in school throughout our careers, say 30 - 40 years.

The Limits of Strategy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

When I look back upon my long career , one of the major factors shaping my views of business, strategy and innovation is the creative destruction that I saw buffeting the IT industry over most of that time. Why were so many companies in the IT industry done in by such disruptive technology and market changes? Is it that in spite of all their efforts in strategy formulation, their management was unable to anticipate them and were caught by surprise?

3 reasons to change your learning content management strategy now

Xyleme

Have legacy systems handcuffed your enterprise? The technology market research firm Radicati Group estimates the enterprise content management market will bloom from $5.1 Capgemini Academy publishes a large number of information technology courses.

The Rise of the Platform Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

IBM’s System 360 family of mainframes, announced in 1964, featured a common hardware architecture and operating system, enabling customers to upgrade their systems with no need to rewrite their applications. What do we mean by a platform ?

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