Judgement & statistics

Dave Snowden

The interesting feature is that on all the statistical evidence Ireland should have had a walk over, but they lost. The trouble is that statistics count what can be counted and that can never be the whole picture. Of course in the ordered aspects of any enterprise statistics and numbers can do a lot of the work for you, but in a complex situation they can be dangerous. Watching the rugby match between Scotland and Ireland today was interesting for a neutral.

Statistical tails waging the dogs of truth

Dave Snowden

It is a growing problem in health care with statistics seeming to dominate over biology in respect of evidence. That statistical engines then run and correlations are identified which are then distilled into prescriptive or advisory recipes for managers seeking to know outcome before action.

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Why Do We Need Data Science when We’ve Had Statistics for Centuries?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

But, analyzing data is something people have been doing with statistics and related methods for a while. “Why Why then do we need a new term like data science when we have had statistics for centuries?

3 Statistics that Prove the Business Value of Online Learning


The following statistics prove that online learning is well worth investing in. Is online learning really valuable to companies?

MOOC Statistics Thus Far

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Here's what we have for participation rates in the #Change11 MOOC this far. Persons' are people who have registered for the course. The gap between persons and subscriptions is the number of people who signed up for the course but unsubscribed to the newsletter.'Subscriptions' Subscriptions' is the number of people subscribing to the daily newsletter.'Feeds' Feeds' is the number of blogs submitted by course participants and harvested by the feed reader. It includes active feeds only

Statistical fallacy impairs post-publication mood

Mind Hacks

No scientific paper is perfect, but a recent result on the effect of mood on colour perception is getting a particularly rough ride post-publication.

[2b2k] Census Bureau ends Statistical Abstract

David Weinberger

The Census Bureau is no longer going to fund the creation of the Statistical Abstract of the United States, apparently in order to save $3M a year. If the absence of a Statistical Abstract increases search time by even two minutes, then the cost, based on the all-in average pay of reference librarians, will be about five times the federal savings.

Technorati's Statistics

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Technorati right now offers no statistical validity and should not be quoted as indicative of web trends or blogosphere trends. Re: Technorati's State of Blogs report Joho writes: "Dave Sifry has been posting data Technorati has gathered about the size and nature of the blogosphere, at least the big chunk of it Technorati knows about." Sorry to complain, but this report is almost completely implausible.

3 Statistics that Prove the Business Value of Online Sales Training


eLearning has become a popular mode of sales training for companies. In fact, “ eLearning is the fastest-growing modality for sales training,” stated Monarch Media.

4 Statistics that Connect Your LMS to Improved Business Performance (Including Employee Engagement)


Businesses know that employee training is important, but just how much does it matter? LMS eLearning and Corporate Training Business Performance

What the Online Learning Consortium’s 2016 Statistics Mean for the Future


Online learning statistics aren’t merely dry facts; they are gusts of wind that blow companies in one direction or another. Statistics help businesses discover whether or not what they are doing is working. A Summary of the Online Learning Consortium’s 2016 Statistics.

Real Profitability Part I: The Big Three and Four

Martijn Linssen

Business or Pleasure? -

Social Media 2014 Statistics (interactive infographic)

Jane Hart

Another interactive infographic – this one form Digital Insights – that lets you tweet the statistics. Isn’t loading? Try this. Social learning

The Psychologist on stigma, statistics and S&M

Mind Hacks

The British Psychological Society's monthly magazine The Psychologist is continuing to dip its toes into the world of open-access and has made the entire March edition freely available online. A couple of articles stand out. The first is on stigma that discusses studies on how we internally structure information and notes that even here, the golden ratio may play a role, with a crucial 68% / 32% split on negative and positive information being linked to stigmatised people.

Enterprise microblogging: measuring true value "is relative"

Martijn Linssen

why not both Home About Contact Friday, 14 January 2011 Enterprise microblogging: measuring true value "is relative" Yammer announced a new feature yesterday : Leaderboards Leaderboards gives users access to statistics about their network activity. Business or Pleasure? -

Business or Pleasure? - why not both: Get your act together! @Klout

Martijn Linssen

All Ive done is cut out one part and saved that as JPEG, as to minimise its size (thus increasing the performance of this blog post page) First, a few statistically impossible deviations. Business or Pleasure? - why not both Home About Contact Friday, 25 June 2010 Get your act together!

stevenberlinjohnson.com: Gearing Up

Steven Berlin Johnson

stevenberlinjohnson.com « September | Main | Clear Evidence That Apple Reads This Blog Religiously » Gearing Up Those of you who read the first pages of Everything Bad Is Good For You know that I was freakishly obsessed with baseball, and particularly baseball statistics, when I was a young kid. In the last few months, our just-turned-six-year-old has gotten equally obsessed with baseball, which of course is why I had children in the first place -- so I could shag fly balls and talk about the Yankees with someone. (I kid, but only slightly.) But theres a twist here, and the twist is that while our son is definitely intrigued by the stats side of baseball, the fact that he can only read about thirty words (among them, naturally: Jeter, A-Rod, Red Sox) has limited his stats obsession, though he devours the sports pages every morning. His big obsession right now turns out to be gear. It started innocently enough when we got him a glove and uniform for his Pee-Wee baseball team this spring. Five months later, things have gotten somewhat out of control. Every time we head out to Prospect Park for a quick game of catch before dinner, this is what we absolutely, positively MUST bring or else the whole trip is off: 1. Three gloves (one extra for his little brother) 2. Three bases and home plate. 3. Pitchers rubber. (God forbid whoever is pitching should just stand in between first and third base without actually standing on the rubber.) 4. One batters helmet. (I talked him down from two, arguing that with three players, no one was ever on deck, and besides were playing with a soft baseball so we dont even need helmets at all.) 5. Shin-guards for whoever is catching. 6. Soft baseball hats for all players. 7. Baseball. 8. Two differently weighted bats. He also insists on wearing his green and white baseball socks from his Pee-Wee uniform, pulled all the way up to his knees, which, when combined with normal clothes, has a distinctly lederhosen kind of look. I should say, though, that yesterday we got into a pickup game on the Meadow, and one of the other kids was not only in full uniform, but was also wearing batting gloves and cleats. What a freak, right? September 11, 2007 in Personal | Permalink TrackBack TrackBack URL for this entry: [link] Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Gearing Up : Comments As a fellow baseball obsessive and the father of a six-year-old baseball player, I can make only two* recommendations here: 1. As early as possible, get him to lose the batting gloves. Show him clips of Vlad batting, if that helps. Say things he'll take years to grasp, like "Honus Wagner didn't need batting gloves, Jackie Robinson didn't need batting gloves, and you don't need batting gloves." I have a convoluted theory that the rise of batting gloves is somehow connected to the decline of civilization as a whole. (Like you, I'm kidding only slightly.) 2. By all means, get him to keep the high knee socks. Encourage horizontal stripes, if possible. In my dream world, no baseball player would wear full-length pants, much less the baggies favored by Manny et al. (* Leaving aside the obvious anti-Yankees jibes, since I don't usually attack others' articles of faith.) Posted by: Tim Walker | September 11, 2007 at 06:29 PM His big obsession right now turns out to be gear. It started innocently enough when we got him a glove and uniform for his Pee-Wee baseball team this spring. Posted by: buy viagra | February 16, 2010 at 07:46 AM Verify your Comment Previewing your Comment Posted by: | This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted. Your comment could not be posted. Error type: Your comment has been posted. Post another comment The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again. As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments. Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate. SBJ via Twitter follow me on Twitter The Basics Im a father of three boys, husband of one wife, and author of five books. In early 2007 I went and foolishly got myself a day job running the hyperlocal community site, outside.in that I co-founded the year before. We spend most of the year in Park Slope, Brooklyn, though Im on the road a lot giving talks. (You can see the full story here.) Personal correspondence should go to sbj6668 at earthlink dot net. Media requests should go to Matthew.Venzon at us.penguingroup dot com. If youre interested in having me speak at an event, drop a line to Wesley Neff at the Leigh Bureau (WesN at Leighbureau dot com.) Live SBJ Upcoming Events More of stevenberlinjohnsons events StoryMap Recent Essays The War On Error Discover column on the webs bottom-up response to Katrina. Air Purifiers For Data Smog Discover column on software that helps you focus. Why The Web Is Like A Rain Forest. Discover column on Web 2.0. Finding "Lost" London Times piece on the mysterious hit show "Lost." The Urban Long Tail Discover column on the diversity of cities. My Books The Ghost Map The latest: the story of a terrifying outbreak of cholera in 1854 London 1854 that ended up changing the world. An idea book wrapped around a page-turner. I like to think of it as a sequel to Emergence if Emergence had been a disease thriller. You can see a trailer for the book here. Everything Bad Is Good for You: How Todays Popular Culture Is Actually Making Us Smarter The title says it all. This one sparked a slightly insane international conversation about the state of pop culture -- and particularly games. There were more than a few dissenters, but the response was more positive than I had expected. And it got me on The Daily Show, which made it all worthwhile. Mind Wide Open : Your Brain and the Neuroscience of Everyday Life My first best-seller, and the only book Ive written in which I appear as a recurring character, subjecting myself to a battery of humiliating brain scans. The last chapter on Freud and the neuroscientific model of the mind is one of my personal favorites. Emergence: The Connected Lives of Ants, Brains, Cities, and Software The story of bottom-up intelligence, from slime mold to Slashdot. Probably the most critically well-received all my books, and the one that has influenced the most eclectic mix of fields: political campaigns, web business models, urban planning, the war on terror. Interface Culture : How New Technology Transforms the Way We Create and Communicate My first. The book I wrote instead of finishing my dissertation. Still in print almost a decade later, and still relevant, I think. But I havent read it in a while, so who knows whats in there! Recent Posts The Shanghai Surprise: Urban Planning Is Sexy! Introducing Appify More On The Shallows Where Good Ideas Come From Is Steve Jobs Repeating His Past Mistakes? A (Slightly Amended) History Of Webism The Glass Box And The Commonplace Book What Does "Generative" Mean Anyway? Does Apple Think Multitasking Is A Bug Not A Feature? And Other Questions. CNN Invests in Outside.In Archives July 2010 June 2010 April 2010 February 2010 December 2009 November 2009 October 2009 September 2009 June 2009 April 2009 More. Subscribe to this blogs feed Blog powered by TypePad

Getting rained out in a brainstorm

Doc Searls

The only math course I took in college was Statistics. Tags: "Bregman divergences" Berkman Center math wdbs "Dean Landsman" VRM infrastructure wfxc "Science Digest" partitioning Business brainstorm Berkman Science "Jonathan Zittrain" jz zittrain statistics

Buy a book, save a life | Daniel Pink

Dan Pink

You might feel helpless in the face of such an overwhelming statistic. Dan Pink. Contact. Follow Dan on Twitter. About Dan. Speaking Engagements. Video. Articles. Office Hours. Drive. A Whole New Mind. Johnny Bunko. Daniel H.

Buy 59

Learnlets » Informal budget ratio 80/20?

Clark Quinn

The Tech, the Cream, and the Clear…

Andy McAfee

As he wrote, “Given the advances in baseball statistics, one might hope it would be possible to deploy modern analytical tools to adjust today’s chemically enhanced stats and put them on a level playing field with those of yesteryear. More specifically, we’d expect to see increases in the standard deviation (a measure of spread) of all hitters’ batting averages, all pitchers’ walks+hits per inning pitched (WHIP), and other such statistics.

Young Voters Gaining On Older Voters?

Nine Shift

To follow up on yesterday's blog entry, here's some statistics to back up the hoped-for claim that Millennials are voting more this year. Pennsylvania is leading the groundswell, with registered voters 34 and younger now outnumbering those 65 and older, according to the latest statistics from the Pennsylvania State Department issued Aug 13.

eLearning Reports: 3 LMS Metrics That Indicate Course Effectiveness


1 This statistic indicates that many eLearning courses aren’t as effective as they should be, but measuring the effectiveness of each course exactly can be a complex process.

The Higher Ed Model is Broke: Part 49

Nine Shift

But one person at the university said the university offers a minor in his chosen area, statistics. Another person at the university said the university does NOT offer a minor in statistics. Selecting a major and minor easy? Not so fast.

Social Media Revolution 2011 Video

Jane Hart

This is a shorter version that includes new social media statistics for 2011. Tweet. I’ve been waiting for this! The 2011 revision of the well known video by Erik Qualmann.

Video 280

Constant learning is a key theme in the Future of Work

Jane Hart

Each theme has 4 trends and each trend is supported by 4 examples, supporting statistics and implications defined by PSFK Labs team. This presentation, from Innovation Excellence , explores the new ways we are working and the implications for business and for workers.

No more Type I/II error confusion

Mind Hacks

Type I and Type II errors are, respectively, when you allow a statistical test to convinces you of a false effect, and when you allow a statistical test to convince you to dismiss a true effect.

Types 114

Trains replacing planes

Nine Shift

Guy Felder of Houston sends us this interesting statistic: . Traffic on the most travelled flight segment in the US: LaGuardia to DC is down…it's more convenient to take the train

How Much are Free Goods Worth? A LOT.

Andy McAfee

His talk was titled “How the GDP Statistics Ignore Free Goods and Why it Matters.” Here’s the money slide from Erik’s Brynjolfsson’s presentation earlier today at the Techonomy 2012 conference.

Humans, Machines and Collective Intelligence

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

If so, can you device tests to measure the group’s intelligence using methodologies and statistical techniques similar to those that have been applied to measure the IQs of individuals for the past hundred years?

Data 278

Beyond Machine Learning: Capturing Cause-and-Effect Relationships

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Deep learning is a powerful statistical technique for classifying patterns using large training data sets and multi-layer AI neural networks. That was how the Higgs was discovered, emerging from the statistical noise in the autumn of 2011.”.

Data 222

Deep Learning: Is it Approaching a Wall?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Deep learning is a powerful statistical technique for classifying patterns using large training data sets and multi-layer AI neural networks. The deep in deep learning refers to its highly sophisticated, multi-layered statistical properties.

Patterns & significance

Dave Snowden

A series of emails and skype calls today built up a head of frustration with some people's obsession with statistics and data. Another with a colleague frustrated by people talking about the validity of statistical patterns for low volume datasets and not realising that simple visualisation can enable an intelligent person who make sufficient sense to act. Humans can change the context through intent (or accidentally) which can render any statistics out of date/data/meaning.

Training End Users with an LMS: 3 Tips for Tech Companies


Bureau of Labor Statistics indicate the base of tech occupations will increase by 626,000 jobs by 2026,” stated CompTIA. The estimated direct economic output of the technology industry is $1.6 trillion, which comprises 9.2 percent of the United States’ economy, according to Cyberstates TM,1.

Want to Increase Manufacturing Productivity? Start Your Manufacturing Training Program Like This


manufacturers are short 450,000 employees, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In the U.S.,

Human-AI Decision Systems

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Sabermetrics , - the use of statistics in baseball to project a player’s performance and career, - is one such prominent example. The scouts’ predictions were about 15 percent better than those that relied on statistics alone.

System 161

Improve Customer Service Training with a Learning Management Software


Thirty-five Customer Experience Statistics to Know for 2019¹ stated, “Customers no longer base their loyalty on price or product. Companies are increasing their focus on the customer experience, and for good reason: happy customers are loyal customers. Instead, they stay loyal with companies due to the experience they receive. If you cannot keep up with their increasing demands, your customers will leave you.”. Are your current customers loyal to your brand?

The Puzzling Economic Impact of Transformative Technologies

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In future, after making appropriate adjustments accounting for the Productivity J-curve, we can see new technologies everywhere including the productivity statistics.”.

My/Our research …

Dave Snowden

You know have a figure, a statistic to drive people to adopt your idea. I’ve long pointed out to over enthusiastic proponents of ‘story telling’ that the phrase has a double meaning in English and the most dominant one is to tell a story.

DOT To Shut Down Nation's Roads

Nine Shift

In the wake of an unfortunate accident on Washington DC's metro line, the story cites statistics that show driving is far more dangerous than riding the DC metro NineShifter Scott Rogers of Eau Claire, Wisconsin, sends the link to this story. Scott said, "Saw this and thought of you." . Here's the story, USDOT To Shut Down Nation's Roads, Citing Safety Concerns. Thanks Scott ! Photo: Scott Rogers.

Conceptualizing AI in Human Terms is Misleading and Potentially Harmful

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

E ach node in an AI neural network is connected to many other such nodes, and the links can be statistically strengthened or weakened based on the data used to train the system. “We speak of machines that think , learn , and infer.

Data 149

The Digitalization of the American Workforce

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Many highly digital occupations became even more digital, including electronics engineers, - which increased from 69 to 90, aerospace engineerings - 65 to 77, and statistical assistants, - 66 to 73.

Skills 202

We did it again! Another big Prediction Comes True!

Nine Shift

Last month the government came out with statistics showing that suburbs are now starting to retreat. We nailed it! This time we got the exact year right! . Two years ago we predicted in writing that suburbs would go into decline in 2012.