Judgement & statistics

Dave Snowden

The interesting feature is that on all the statistical evidence Ireland should have had a walk over, but they lost. The trouble is that statistics count what can be counted and that can never be the whole picture. Of course in the ordered aspects of any enterprise statistics and numbers can do a lot of the work for you, but in a complex situation they can be dangerous. Watching the rugby match between Scotland and Ireland today was interesting for a neutral.

Statistical tails waging the dogs of truth

Dave Snowden

It is a growing problem in health care with statistics seeming to dominate over biology in respect of evidence. That statistical engines then run and correlations are identified which are then distilled into prescriptive or advisory recipes for managers seeking to know outcome before action. That as they say is the tail of a statistical restriction wagging the dog of truth. But they are not causal and statistics alone do not provide an explanation of why.

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3 Statistics that Prove the Business Value of Online Learning

TOPYX LMS

The following statistics prove that online learning is well worth investing in. Is online learning really valuable to companies?

MOOC Statistics Thus Far

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Here's what we have for participation rates in the #Change11 MOOC this far. Persons' are people who have registered for the course. The gap between persons and subscriptions is the number of people who signed up for the course but unsubscribed to the newsletter.'Subscriptions' Subscriptions' is the number of people subscribing to the daily newsletter.'Feeds' Feeds' is the number of blogs submitted by course participants and harvested by the feed reader. It includes active feeds only

Why Do We Need Data Science when We’ve Had Statistics for Centuries?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

But, analyzing data is something people have been doing with statistics and related methods for a while. “Why Why then do we need a new term like data science when we have had statistics for centuries? Data Science is emerging as as one of the hottest new professions and academic disciplines in these early years of the 21st century. A number of articles have noted that the demand for data scientists is racing ahead of supply.

[2b2k] Census Bureau ends Statistical Abstract

David Weinberger

The Census Bureau is no longer going to fund the creation of the Statistical Abstract of the United States, apparently in order to save $3M a year. If the absence of a Statistical Abstract increases search time by even two minutes, then the cost, based on the all-in average pay of reference librarians, will be about five times the federal savings.

Statistical fallacy impairs post-publication mood

Mind Hacks

No scientific paper is perfect, but a recent result on the effect of mood on colour perception is getting a particularly rough ride post-publication. Thorstenson and colleagues published their paper this summer in Psychological Science , claiming that people who were sad had impaired colour perception along the blue-yellow colour axis but not along the red-green colour axis.

Technorati's Statistics

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Technorati right now offers no statistical validity and should not be quoted as indicative of web trends or blogosphere trends. Re: Technorati's State of Blogs report Joho writes: "Dave Sifry has been posting data Technorati has gathered about the size and nature of the blogosphere, at least the big chunk of it Technorati knows about." Sorry to complain, but this report is almost completely implausible.

4 Statistics that Connect Your LMS to Improved Business Performance (Including Employee Engagement)

TOPYX LMS

Businesses know that employee training is important, but just how much does it matter? LMS eLearning and Corporate Training Business Performance

3 Statistics that Prove the Business Value of Online Sales Training

TOPYX LMS

eLearning has become a popular mode of sales training for companies. In fact, “ eLearning is the fastest-growing modality for sales training,” stated Monarch Media. 1 However, because sales training is crucially important to business success, the switch to online sales training has been slower than in other training areas.

What the Online Learning Consortium’s 2016 Statistics Mean for the Future

TOPYX LMS

Online learning statistics aren’t merely dry facts; they are gusts of wind that blow companies in one direction or another. Statistics help businesses discover whether or not what they are doing is working. At TOPYX, we appreciate the organizations doing hard work to deliver accurate, timely statistics. A Summary of the Online Learning Consortium’s 2016 Statistics. These statistics are highly valuable to the education sector.

Real Profitability Part I: The Big Three and Four

Martijn Linssen

Business or Pleasure? -

Social Media 2014 Statistics (interactive infographic)

Jane Hart

Another interactive infographic – this one form Digital Insights – that lets you tweet the statistics. Isn’t loading? Try this. Social learning

The Psychologist on stigma, statistics and S&M

Mind Hacks

The British Psychological Society's monthly magazine The Psychologist is continuing to dip its toes into the world of open-access and has made the entire March edition freely available online. A couple of articles stand out. The first is on stigma that discusses studies on how we internally structure information and notes that even here, the golden ratio may play a role, with a crucial 68% / 32% split on negative and positive information being linked to stigmatised people.

Enterprise microblogging: measuring true value "is relative"

Martijn Linssen

why not both Home About Contact Friday, 14 January 2011 Enterprise microblogging: measuring true value "is relative" Yammer announced a new feature yesterday : Leaderboards Leaderboards gives users access to statistics about their network activity. Business or Pleasure? -

Business or Pleasure? - why not both: Get your act together! @Klout

Martijn Linssen

All Ive done is cut out one part and saved that as JPEG, as to minimise its size (thus increasing the performance of this blog post page) First, a few statistically impossible deviations. Business or Pleasure? - why not both Home About Contact Friday, 25 June 2010 Get your act together!

stevenberlinjohnson.com: Gearing Up

Steven Berlin Johnson

stevenberlinjohnson.com « September | Main | Clear Evidence That Apple Reads This Blog Religiously » Gearing Up Those of you who read the first pages of Everything Bad Is Good For You know that I was freakishly obsessed with baseball, and particularly baseball statistics, when I was a young kid.

Getting rained out in a brainstorm

Doc Searls

The only math course I took in college was Statistics. Tags: "Bregman divergences" Berkman Center math wdbs "Dean Landsman" VRM infrastructure wfxc "Science Digest" partitioning Business brainstorm Berkman Science "Jonathan Zittrain" jz zittrain statistics

Learnlets » Informal budget ratio 80/20?

Clark Quinn

The Tech, the Cream, and the Clear…

Andy McAfee

As he wrote, “Given the advances in baseball statistics, one might hope it would be possible to deploy modern analytical tools to adjust today’s chemically enhanced stats and put them on a level playing field with those of yesteryear. More specifically, we’d expect to see increases in the standard deviation (a measure of spread) of all hitters’ batting averages, all pitchers’ walks+hits per inning pitched (WHIP), and other such statistics.

Buy a book, save a life | Daniel Pink

Dan Pink

You might feel helpless in the face of such an overwhelming statistic. Dan Pink. Contact. Follow Dan on Twitter. About Dan. Speaking Engagements. Video. Articles. Office Hours. Drive. A Whole New Mind. Johnny Bunko. Daniel H. Pink is the author of four provocative bestselling books about the changing world of work. He lives in Washington, DC with his wife and their three children. More about Dan.

Buy 45

Young Voters Gaining On Older Voters?

Nine Shift

To follow up on yesterday's blog entry, here's some statistics to back up the hoped-for claim that Millennials are voting more this year. Pennsylvania is leading the groundswell, with registered voters 34 and younger now outnumbering those 65 and older, according to the latest statistics from the Pennsylvania State Department issued Aug 13.

The Higher Ed Model is Broke: Part 49

Nine Shift

But one person at the university said the university offers a minor in his chosen area, statistics. Another person at the university said the university does NOT offer a minor in statistics. Selecting a major and minor easy? Not so fast. Willie is set to start classes at the university, a great victory. He has selected a major. The kicker: both people are student advisors at the university. Summer flowers on our local university campus.

eLearning Reports: 3 LMS Metrics That Indicate Course Effectiveness

TOPYX LMS

1 This statistic indicates that many eLearning courses aren’t as effective as they should be, but measuring the effectiveness of each course exactly can be a complex process. LMS learners waste up to 40 percent of their time due to "frustrating experiences" with online courses, per eLearning Industry. eLearning LMS LMS Reporting

No more Type I/II error confusion

Mind Hacks

Type I and Type II errors are, respectively, when you allow a statistical test to convinces you of a false effect, and when you allow a statistical test to convince you to dismiss a true effect. Despite being fundamentally important concepts, they are terribly named. Who can ever remember which way around the two errors go? Well now I can, thanks to a comment from a friend I thought so useful I made it into a picture: Theory

Types 87

Patterns & significance

Dave Snowden

A series of emails and skype calls today built up a head of frustration with some people's obsession with statistics and data. Another with a colleague frustrated by people talking about the validity of statistical patterns for low volume datasets and not realising that simple visualisation can enable an intelligent person who make sufficient sense to act. Humans can change the context through intent (or accidentally) which can render any statistics out of date/data/meaning.

Deep Learning: Is it Approaching a Wall?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Deep learning is a powerful statistical technique for classifying patterns using large training data sets and multi-layer AI neural networks. The deep in deep learning refers to its highly sophisticated, multi-layered statistical properties.

Trains replacing planes

Nine Shift

Guy Felder of Houston sends us this interesting statistic: . Traffic on the most travelled flight segment in the US: LaGuardia to DC is down…it's more convenient to take the train

Conceptualizing AI in Human Terms is Misleading and Potentially Harmful

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

E ach node in an AI neural network is connected to many other such nodes, and the links can be statistically strengthened or weakened based on the data used to train the system. “We speak of machines that think , learn , and infer.

Data 238

How Much are Free Goods Worth? A LOT.

Andy McAfee

His talk was titled “How the GDP Statistics Ignore Free Goods and Why it Matters.” Here’s the money slide from Erik’s Brynjolfsson’s presentation earlier today at the Techonomy 2012 conference. ” It’s based on research he conducted with post-doc Joo Hee Oh. Here’s the summary slide (the paper describing the research is not available yet; Erik will post it on his site when it is

Humans, Machines and Collective Intelligence

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

If so, can you device tests to measure the group’s intelligence using methodologies and statistical techniques similar to those that have been applied to measure the IQs of individuals for the past hundred years? But, they did find three group attributes that were statistically significant factors in predicting how well each group will do on a wide range of tasks. Years later, there was enough data to compare the performance of scouts versus more purely statistical approaches.

Beyond Machine Learning: Capturing Cause-and-Effect Relationships

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Deep learning is a powerful statistical technique for classifying patterns using large training data sets and multi-layer AI neural networks. Each artificial neural unit is connected to many other such units, and the links can be statistically strengthened or decreased based on the data used to train the system. That was how the Higgs was discovered, emerging from the statistical noise in the autumn of 2011.”.

DOT To Shut Down Nation's Roads

Nine Shift

In the wake of an unfortunate accident on Washington DC's metro line, the story cites statistics that show driving is far more dangerous than riding the DC metro NineShifter Scott Rogers of Eau Claire, Wisconsin, sends the link to this story. Scott said, "Saw this and thought of you." . Here's the story, USDOT To Shut Down Nation's Roads, Citing Safety Concerns. Thanks Scott ! Photo: Scott Rogers.

Improve Customer Service Training with a Learning Management Software

TOPYX LMS

Thirty-five Customer Experience Statistics to Know for 2019¹ stated, “Customers no longer base their loyalty on price or product. Companies are increasing their focus on the customer experience, and for good reason: happy customers are loyal customers. Instead, they stay loyal with companies due to the experience they receive. If you cannot keep up with their increasing demands, your customers will leave you.”. Are your current customers loyal to your brand?

Constant learning is a key theme in the Future of Work

Jane Hart

Each theme has 4 trends and each trend is supported by 4 examples, supporting statistics and implications defined by PSFK Labs team. This presentation, from Innovation Excellence , explores the new ways we are working and the implications for business and for workers. Constant Learning is one of the key themes, and includes Learning by doing, Digital Knowledge Updates and Networked Learning. The Future of Work from Innovation Excellence. Collaboration Social learning

Social Media Revolution 2011 Video

Jane Hart

This is a shorter version that includes new social media statistics for 2011. Tweet. I’ve been waiting for this! The 2011 revision of the well known video by Erik Qualmann. “Part of the world’s most watched Social Media video series; “Social Media Revolution&# by Erik Qualman. Based on #1 International Best Selling Book Socialnomics by Erik Qualman. “

Video 195

3 Tips for Developing Employees Quickly, Even if They Work Remotely

TOPYX LMS

1 This statistic shows how important it is that companies make the most of the talent they already have. It’s more critical than ever for companies to take the initiative to develop their employees. Fifty percent of employers have put a freeze on hiring new workers to cut costs in response to the COVID-19 crisis, per FacilityExecutive.com.

Tips 55

User-Based Free Innovation

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

The Transformative Power of Analytics - The Houston Astros: a Case Study

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Baseball has long been a game of statistics, collecting and analyzing vast amounts of data going back to the founding of the MLB in the years following the Civil War. . We now have enough data to compare the performance of scouts versus more purely statistical approaches.

Are We Becoming a Decadent, Stagnating Society?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

The article cites a number of statistics underlying his world-is-getting-better view: average life expectancy - 50 years in 1960, 71 years in 2018; under-5 child mortality rate - 18% in 1960, 4.3% Lots of similarly positive statistics can be found in the Our Word in Data website. Earlier this year I read a very interesting essay, “ The Age of Decadence ”, by NY Times columnist Ross Douthat.

Human-AI Decision Systems

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Sabermetrics , - the use of statistics in baseball to project a player’s performance and career, - is one such prominent example. Sabermetrics was popularized by Michael Lewis in Moneyball , - his bestseller book later turned into a film , - about Billy Beane , the Oakland Athletics general manager who used statistical techniques to make his small-market team highly competitive against teams with much larger budgets.

System 133

The Leader's Guide to Radical Management: The most beautiful.

Steve Denning

So here's another shot: the world's most beautiful statistics. Statistics come to life when Swedish academic superstar Hans Rosling graphically illustrates global development in 200 countries over the last 200 years in just 4 minutes.

ILT is not Dead

Xyleme

While this trend continues to grow, statistics are showing that instructor-led training (ILT) is not dead. Organizations continue to focus on implementing new and innovative ways to implement digital learning. In fact, according to the 2019 Brandon Hall Study , ILT remains the primary form of learning delivery in organizations – a whopping 94%, as opposed to eLearning at 77%. For years, learning experts have been predicting that ILT will slowly phase out. So why hasn’t it?