The Post-Pandemic Outlook for Technology, Jobs, and Skills

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

“The COVID-19 pandemic-induced lockdowns and related global recession of 2020 have created a highly uncertain outlook for the labour market,” said the World Economic Forum (WEF) in The Future of Jobs Report 2020. Let me summarize the report’s key findings and recommendations.

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The MIT Work of the Future Report

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

“The world now stands on the cusp of a technological revolution in artificial intelligence and robotics that may prove as transformative for economic growth and human potential as were electrification, mass production, and electronic telecommunications in their eras,” said the MIT Task Force on the Work of the Future in its recently released interim report. The final report will be issued after conducting additional research over the next year.

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AI Technologies Are Fundamentally Changing How Work Gets Done

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

After decades of promise and hype, artificial intelligence is finally becoming one of the most important technologies of our era. AI technologies, like machine learning, are clearly having a major impact on the very nature of work.

Solow Paradox 2.0: The Lagging Impact of Technology Advances on Productivity Growth

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Our aging economies are thus dependent on productivity gains to drive long-term economic growth , future prosperity and higher standards of living. Which is why few topics have generated as much concern among economists and policy makers as the sharp decline in productivity growth in the US and other advanced economies over the past decade, - despite accelerating technology advances. Their average productivity growth in the 5 years between 2000 and 2004 was 2.4%.

The Productivity Puzzle

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Economic growth has two main components, productivity growth and the growth of the labor force. I ncreasing productivity is thus more crucial than ever to promote economic growth. But, in the US and other advanced economies, productivity growth has significantly slowed down over the past few decades. From 1987 to 2004 US labor productivity grew at a 2.1% Since 2011, the productivity rate has further declined to 0.6%. . US labor productivity grew at only 1.5%

AI and the Productivity Paradox

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

But, at the same time, productivity growth has significantly declined over the past decade, and income has continued to stagnate for the majority of Americans. This puzzling contradiction is addressed in Artificial Intelligences and the Modern Productivity Paradox , a working paper recently published by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Economists have proposed competing explanations for declining productivity growth and so far have failed to reach a consensus.” .

Educational Research in Learning Technology

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Kerr in this recent post , about how research in educational technology could be improved, but I have disagreements around the edges, enough that I think more discussion is warranted. Here are just a few: - access - it is demonstrably true that educational technology has increased access.

The Productivity Paradox: Digital Abundance and Scarce Genius

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Despite the relentless advances of digital technologies, productivity growth has been declining over the past decade. Some contend, - most prominently Northwestern University economist Robert Gordon , - that over the past few decades there’s been a fundamental decline in innovation and productivity. While technologies may advance rapidly, humans and our institutions change slowly. Why then is productivity growth so lukewarm?

Remote Work is Surprisingly Productive, But For Many… Something Is Missing

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

asks science and technology journalist Clive Thompson in the title of his June 9 NY Times Magazine article. “The coronavirus crisis is forcing white-collar America to reconsider nearly every aspect of office life. What If Working From Home Goes on … Forever?

AI and the Productivity Paradox

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

But, at the same time, productivity growth has significantly declined over the past decade, and income has continued to stagnate for the majority of Americans. This puzzling contradiction is addressed in Artificial Intelligences and the Modern Productivity Paradox , a working paper recently published by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Economists have proposed competing explanations for declining productivity growth and so far have failed to reach a consensus.” .

Technological Unemployment and the Future of Work

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Few topics are as important, - and as challenging to anticipate, - than the future of work given our justifiable fears of rising technological unemployment. One such discussion took place this past September at the The World Summit on Technological Unemployment in New York. I moderated a panel on Technology and the Future of Work, where MIT economist David Autor and NY Times reporter John Markoff talked about their most recent work.

The Top Ten Emerging Technologies of 2017

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Earlier this year, Scientific American , in collaboration with the World Economic Forum , published a special report on The Top Ten Emerging Technologies of 2017. These technologies, - selected by a global panel of experts , - “are expected to become increasingly commonplace in the next few years,” and are “attracting increased funding or showing other signs of being ready to move to the next level.”. Artificial Intelligence Innovation Supercomputing Technology and Strategy

From Mass Production to Mass Individualism

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Technology and globalizations have significantly reduced the employment opportunities and earning of middle-skill, middle-wage jobs. The Collaborative Economy , a 2013 report by Jeremiah Owyang , nicely explains the evolution of this Internet-based economy, and the associated shift of economic power from institutions to individuals. All kinds of new products and services, like Airbnb, are now coming to market.

The Top Ten Emerging Technologies of 2016

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

For the past several years, the World Economic Forum (WEF) has published an annual list of the Top Ten Emerging Technologies that would likely have the greatest impact on the world in the years to come. The list is compiled by the WEF Meta-Council on Emerging Technologies , a panel of global experts led by Dr. Bernard Meyerson , - IBM Fellow and Chief Innovation Officer. The technologies on the list are not new.

Technology and the Future of Media

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Most everyone will agree that advances in information and communication technologies (ICT) are radically transforming the business landscape. This question was explored in Industries in Transformation , a series of reports developed by Ericsson in collaboration with the Imperial College Business School and the UK’s Sustainable Society Network. Several weeks ago I wrote about The Future of Financial Services , based on their report on the subject.

Technology, Resources and Innovation

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Take that base scaffolding and then wrap a learning community around it, based on great teaching, great technology, and the power it provides. I see that technology today, in pockets. We could develop courses by ourselves pre-technology. So - how do we drive down the cost of content production, and how do we make sharing easier. technology standards. We have all the technology, but we just aren’t demanding it yet. Most reported positive outcomes (95%).

Become a More Productive, Empathetic, Creative Person With the Help of AI-Based Tools

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Despite dramatic advances in technology, most of the world’s economies have been stuck in a long period of slow growth and slow productivity. In a recent article in the MIT Sloan Management Review , MIT Research Fellow Michael Schrage proposed a provocative and counterintuitive approach for enhancing innovation and productivity through man-machine collaborations. Schrage’s approach has been more influenced by behavioral economics than by technology or algorithmic advances.

The Top Ten Emerging Technologies of 2017

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Earlier this year, Scientific American , in collaboration with the World Economic Forum , published a special report on The Top Ten Emerging Technologies of 2017. These technologies, - selected by a global panel of experts , - “are expected to become increasingly commonplace in the next few years,” and are “attracting increased funding or showing other signs of being ready to move to the next level.”. Artificial Intelligence Innovation Supercomputing Technology and Strategy

Life Without eMail – 5th Year Progress Report – The Community, The Movement

Luis Suarez

Because those of you folks who may have been following this blog for a while would realise now how, a couple of months ago, we just went through the 5th year anniversary since I first started “ Thinking Outside the Inbox “, then how it evolved into “ A World Without eMail ” and how it all comes back to basics, eventually: that is, live a successful, purposeful, effective and rather productive work life without depending so much on corporate email.

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[liveblog] Data & Technology in Government

David Weinberger

Part of the importance of this is that students at the Kennedy School are agitating for a much strong technology component to their education on the grounds that these days policy makers need to be deeply cognizant of the possibilities technology offers, and of the culture of our new technology development environment. Tomorrow there is an afternoon of discussions sponsored by the student-led Technology for Change group. Todd Park, White House Technology Advisory.

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Better Education Through Technology

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

me) on seeing a sight like this is to suggest that everybody would be better off with a little more investment in technology. But they could instead higher fewer people, pay them more, and use technology to make up the difference. But third, and perhaps most critically, you don't actually get any improvements in output using the technological solution. It is in this context we need to read an article like Kentaro Toyama's Can Technology End Poverty?

Education Technology Strategies - Day Two

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

So the Achieving Excellents has four major objectives: - achieving excellence - ensuring equity - promoting well-being - competence We''ve also been partnering with the Council of Directors of Educations (CODE - ''superintendants'') - this boosts what we know about technology and enabling innovations. We also find these technologies are giving students with special needs a new voice, and to connect with their teachers and classmates. So, we see this huge growth in technology.

Education Technology Strategies - Day One

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Research - 2012-2014 - already indicators - web-based email increasing vs in-house email (38% - 56%) - cloud-based productivity software increasing 27-46% SWOT (Helpful / Harmful, Internal / External) S - removed fixed cost of laptops and servicing, gave parents a choice to purchase better device W - how to help teachers deal with these disruptive devices (eg. dates to classical Greece How does technology change this? - Using technology to find more (vs.

Stop Days: The Secret To Nonprofit Productivity

Beth Kanter

The video chat provided a nice opportunity to have conversation in real-time about the relationship between self-care and workplace productivity. We talked about the issue of “ collaborative overload ” which is defined as the burnout that results from our over reliance on e-mails, meetings and other collaborative online technology tools that have, ironically, limited our ability to get stuff done.We Workplace Productivity and Well Being .

Your product may no longer be your product

Harold Jarche

But research is our product. I would surmise that ten years ago it was easier to sell a research report than it is now. That means a customized research report for me that’s different than one for somebody else. This is like determining what degree of centralization works best for market and technology conditions. Tags: Technology Work When I started this blog six years ago I knew that I would “giving away&# my thoughts for free.

Technology, Capitalism and “The American Way of Life”

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Much has been written about our digital technology revolution and its impact on economies, societies and individuals. But few have brought the kind of historical perspective to the subject that helps us better understand our turbulent times like scholar and consultant Carlota Perez in her 2002 book Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages and related publications. The now well accepted technologies become the norm.

Impressive startups! Report from PushStart Australian accelerator Demo Day

Trends in the Living Networks

They have made a sale in South Africa, and will be trialling the technology in Sydney CBD later this month. . They also are looking to create an ecosystem in which other developers can build add-on products. It received good feedback so the team has built a next-generation product. They have a reach of extended families, to which they can recommend products relevant to the children. They are looking for $500K for product development and marketing. .

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As more jobs are automated, how many of us will still have productive work?

Trends in the Living Networks

published by the Oxford Martin Programme on the Impacts of Future Technology. The report notes that: “Our findings suggest that recent developments in [Machine Learning] will put a substantial share of employment, across a wide range of occupations, at risk in the near future. The post As more jobs are automated, how many of us will still have productive work? Future of business Future of humanity Future of work Social trends Technology trends Uncategorized

A Useful Framework for Analyzing the Impact of Technology on Jobs

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Last week I discussed a recent Pew Research report on the impact of AI, robotics and other advanced technologies on the future of jobs. The report was based on the responses of nearly 1,900 experts to a few open-ended questions, including “Will networked, automated, artificial intelligence (AI) applications and robotic devices have displaced more jobs than they have created by 2025?”

Leveraging Commercial Best Practices to Maximize Government Productivity

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

On October 6, the Technology CEO Council released its report One Trillion Reasons: How Commercial Best Practices to Maximize Productivity Can Save Taxpayer Money and Enhance Government Services. The report identifes a set of recommendations aimed at reducing US government spending by one trillion dollars over the next decade. Both have access to innovative technologies and management practices that can be of significant help in dealing with their complex operations.

Bridging the World’s Knowledge Divide: Technology + Competition, Skills and Institutions

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

This year’s event was focused on the impact of digital technologies on economic development in emerging and developing countries. It was organized around six different sessions , each of which explored the links between technology and development through a different lens. . I would now like to discuss another brief which I found quite interesting, - Will the Spread of Digital Technologies Spell the End of the Knowledge Divide? ,

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The Link Between BYOD and Increased Productivity

TOPYX LMS

Of all the trends in technology today, BYOD, short for “bring your own device,” is among the most popular. A BYOD policy also makes it easy for employees to access corporate data and online training materials, which can increase productivity. Of all the benefits listed here, increased productivity usually pleases company leaders most. Some organizations choose to implement BYOD solely for the purpose of augmenting productivity.

Driving Productivity Might Revolutionize HR or Kill It

Kevin Wheeler

Home About Future of Talent Subscribe Over the Seas Thoughts on Recruiting, Learning and Other Things as I Ramble around the World Driving Productivity Might Revolutionize HR or Kill It by Kevin Wheeler on March 10, 2010 How different is what you do today from five years ago? Have you invested in systems, technology and process improvements to lower costs and improve the speed to hire, develop, retain or engage your employees? Suddenly productivity began to climb and averaged 2.6

The Increasing Economic Value of Digital Capital

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

According to a 2019 research report , the overall value of the S&P 500 in 1975 was $715 billion, of which 17% was intangible. It introduces a set of methods for quantifying the value of digital capital investments, as well as their impact on a company’s long term productivity and growth.

Happy, Focused, and Productive: There Is An App for That!

Beth Kanter

When researching the book, we came up with a curated a list of our favorite technology wellness apps. But last week, I was honored to do a webinar for Whole Whale where George Weiner and I discussed apps. Productivity. This app will give you a regular report as well as what apps you are using. The Pomodoro method and app is one way to avoid the productivity loss of procrastination. What’s your favorite app for productivity, wellness, or happiness?

Responses to Questions on Technology and Schools

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

How are the new technologies revolutionizing education, especially at schools? It depends very much what technologies are being discussed and what school system is being discussed. As well, the impact of new technologies outside schools is having a pervasive impact within schools. If I had to generalize (which I really hate to do, because there are always inherent inaccuracies) I would venture to say that new technologies are making schools more open.

Rescuing The Reporters ? Clay Shirky

Clay Shirky

A Speculative Post on the Idea of Algorithmic Authority » Rescuing The Reporters. During the talk, I ran through various strategies for funding local reporting, including an idea I first saw articulated by Steve Coll that reporters should become employees of non-profit entities. The AP provided most of that days news, and the cost of running a wire story is tiny compared to employing a beat reporter.). Locally reported news? Rescuing The Reporters. [.].

Technology, Leadership and Innovation in the Service Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

At the end of January I gave a half-day seminar at MIT on Technology, Leadership and Innovation in the Service Economy. For a while now, I have been thinking about how technology and innovation can best be applied to services. My interest in technology-based services innovation was heightened last summer when I read an excellent report, Hidden Wealth: the contribution of science to service innovation , based upon a study sponsored by the UK Royal Society.

Conversation with Tom Stewart: intellectual capital, new reporting, finance and strategy

Trends in the Living Networks

The field of ‘intellectual capital’ proclaims that for many companies the most valuable productive assets are intangibles such as knowledge and business processes, and these need to be measured and managed better. Audit firms see new revenue streams in intangibles reporting. Financial executives must learn new reporting techniques. Until recently the uptake of intangibles reporting has been slow, but the pace is picking up.

A cool new (free!) productivity tool | Daniel Pink

Dan Pink

Personal Productivity (14). Technology (7). productivity tool At the heart of most organizations is a disconnect. It’s not a magic elixir for anybody’s productivity woes. Browse Similar Posts: Motivation , Personal Productivity , Tools. This is a great tool, productivity tracking = awesome! We praise each other for being so productive and forgive each other when the day wasn’t as fruitful as we’d hoped. Dan Pink. Contact.

The future is people, not technology

Jay Cross

The future is people, not technology. Ten years ago, venture capital firms issued lengthy reports explaining why e-learning would take the world by storm. In their book Digital Habitats: Stewarding Technology for Communities , Etienne Wenger, Nancy White and John Smith describe different community orientations in terms of meetings, open-ended conversation, projects, content, access to expertise, relationships, individual participation, community cultivation and service context.

Building Better Jobs in an Age of Intelligent Machines

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

On November 18, the MIT Task Force on the Work of the Future released its final report , The Work of the Future: Building Better Jobs in an Age of Intelligent Machines. An interim report was released in September, 2019. The Task Force comprehensive report covers a lot of ground.

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RightsCon: The Promise and Peril of New Communications Technology

Beth Kanter

This week in San Francisco, technologists and human rights advocates are meeting at the Silicon Valley Human Rights Conference (or RightsCon )to grapple with the realities of how we better manage the human rights implications of new technologies. At WITNESS, we’ve been wrestling with the promise and peril of new communications technologies. WITNESS has coordinated a panel tomorrow on visual media technologies and their intersection with human rights.