Sat.Feb 29, 2020 - Fri.Mar 06, 2020

Cynefin St David’s Day 2020 (1 of n)

Dave Snowden

On St David’s Day last year, I started a five-part series of posts to update the Cynefin Framework, all illustrated by pictures of the mountains of Eryri, or Snowdonia if you want to use the Saxon which derives from Snow Dun, or snow hill.

Is intrinsic motivation a myth?

Clark Quinn

I was asked to comment on intrinsic motivation, and was pointed to an article claiming that it’s a myth(!). Given that I’m a staunch advocate of intrinsic motivation, I felt this was something that I should comprehend. Is intrinsic motivation a myth?

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An analysis of the value of the ways of learning at work

Jane Hart

The Learning in the Workplace survey (which asks respondents to rate 12 different ways of learning at work as Not Important (N), Quite Important (Q), Very Important (V) or Essential (E)) has been running since 2010 and now that it has had over 7,500 responses there is enough data to provide a more in-depth analysis of the ways […]. Modern Workplace Learning

working smarter with PKM

Harold Jarche

Working Smarter with Personal Knowledge Mastery is a field guide for the networked knowledge worker. It is meant to complement the PKM Workshops and help practitioners.

PKM 212

Consulting in the Time of Corona (virus)

Dave Snowden

In the past 2 weeks, I have been called into a few urgent conference calls with partners and clients. As a response to the Corona virus, and it’s spread, many of them (and ourselves) included have had their projects impacted. .

The Evolution of the Social Contract in the 21st Century

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

“Life has changed substantially for individuals in advanced economies in the first two decades of the 21st century,” notes The social contract in the 21st century , a new report by the McKinsey Global Institute (MGI). “In many ways, changes for individuals have been for the better, including new opportunities and overall economic growth… Yet, the relatively positive perspective on the state of the economy, based on GDP and job growth indicators, needs to be complemented with a fuller assessment of the economic outcomes for individuals as workers, consumers, and savers.”. The report takes an in-depth look at the changing economic outcomes for individuals between 2000 and 2018 in 22 advanced countries, - 16 European ones, Japan and South Korea, Australia and New Zealand, and Canada and the US. In aggregate, these countries constitute 57% of global GDP. . The report closely examines the evolution of the social contract , that is, “the arrangements and expectations, often implicit, that govern the exchanges between individuals and institutions.” Its overriding finding is that the social contract has changed considerably in the 21st century, with individuals having to assume greater responsibility for their economic outcomes. Opportunities for work and employment rates have risen significantly, but outcomes vary considerably across socioeconomic groups and geographies. While many have benefited from this evolution, those in the bottom 60% of the income distribution are facing significant economic challenges, leading to an uncertain future and a general loss of trust in institutions. The report analyzes the evolution of the social contract by looking at the changing outcomes for individuals as workers, as consumers, and as savers. Let me summarize the findings in each of these three categories. Employment has risen amid growing labor market polarization and wage stagnation. Employment has risen to record levels in the 22 countries studied. The employment rate for working age populations (15-64 years) rose from 68% in 2000 to 71% in 2018, with the number of working-age people increasing by 45 million, - 31 million women and 14 million men. The rising employment rate has been primarily driven by the rise in part-time employment, - including alternative forms of work, i.e, the so-called gig economy. Part-time employment increased by 4.1% between 2000 and 2018, while full-time employment fell by 1.4%, - a net employment increase of 2.7%. However, even though the employment rate has been at record levels in the US, the working-age employment rate fell from 74% in 2000 to 71% in 2018 due to the rising share of discouraged workers. In the US, p art-time employment increased by 3.4% while full-time employment declined by 6.8%. The increased digitalization of their economies has been a major factor in the polarization of employment and wage distributions over the past two decades. Across the 22 countries, j ob opportunities have expanded for both high- and low-skill occupations while contracting for middle-skill jobs. Between 2000 and 2018, 7 million middle-skill jobs were lost in the US and the 16 European countries for which data are available. Wage stagnation has been a serious challenge for many workers. Between 2000 and 2018, average yearly wage growth was just 0.7% in all the 22 countries. Over the same time period, the share of total income of the bottom 40% of workers decreased by 1.2%, was approximately flat for the middle 40%, and went up by 1.2% for the top 20% of workers in the US and the 16 European countries for which data are available. In the US, the median wage for high skill workers grew by 7.3%, by 1.1% for mid skill workers, and by 5.3% for low skill workers. In addition, recent studies have found a growing economic polarization across a country’s geographic regions. Urban areas are seeing faster employment and wage growth while smaller towns and rural areas are falling behind. In the US, net job growth through 2030 will be concentrated in urban areas, while much of the rest of the country may see little employment growth or even lose jobs. Discretionary goods and services are cheaper, but the cost of housing and other basics has risen. Costs have fallen for most discretionary goods and services, such as clothing, communications, recreation and furnishings, which account for roughly 25% of consumer spending in advanced economies. In addition, the Internet, smartphones and other technologies have given rise to new discretionary consumption, some of which is available to consumers as free services, e.g., access to information, e-mail and social media. However, the costs of housing, healthcare and education have risen faster than general prices, absorbing much of the income gains for many mid- and low-wage workers. Average housing costs have increased by almost 40% in the US and European countries between 2002 and 2018. Since housing accounts for roughly 25% of consumption, rising housing costs have led to a decline in the purchasing power of many workers. Healthcare represents 4% of spending in European countries and in Japan. In the US healthcare accounts for 9% of spending, and, at 17%, it’s the second most significant driver of consumer prices. H ealthcare has significantly improved over the past two decades: life expectancy at 65 increased from 18 to 20 years, mortality from cancer decreased by an average of 15%, and diabetes mortality declined by 20%. “Technology promises to drive further improvements, with innovations such as predictive diagnosis algorithms, health monitor implants, and synthetic biology.”. Education costs went up in all countries except Japan, especially in the US and the UK. Education accounts for 3% of spending in the US, 2% in Japan and 1% in European countries. Access to education has also improved. In particular, tertiary attainment rates, - including trade schools, college and universities, - increased from 28% to 42% of the 25- to 64-year-old population. In addition, online courses are democratizing access to education and skills. Individual and institutional savings have declined at a time of increasing longevity and aging populations. Since people are living longer, the expected number of years spent in retirement has increased from 16 in 1980 to 20 in 2018. But, guaranteed pension levels have declined by an average of 11% since 2000, as governments and private-sector institutions have shifted a larger responsibility to individuals for their own retirement savings. Many pension systems have changed from defined?benefit plans , for which institutions guarantee a minimum return and thus bear the market risk, to defined?contribution plans , for which individuals bear the market risk. “Yet household saving rates fell in 11 of the 22 countries; in 2017, more than half of individuals did not save for old age.” The net pension replacement rate, - which measures how effectively a pension system provides a retirement income to replace pre-retirement earnings, - has decreased by 11% for the average person across the 22 countries in the study. While much has improved for individuals in the first two decades of the 21st century, many challenges remain. To help achieve better and more inclusive outcomes in the decades ahead, concerted action is needed on two fronts: “first to make sure that the gains of the 21st century so far are sustained and scaled, and the potential for even more opportunities and economic prosperity is fully realized. Second, to make sure that the outcomes for individuals in the next 20 or more years of the 21st century are better and more inclusive than in the first 20 and increase broad prosperity.”. Economic Issues Healthcare Systems Management and Leadership Political Issues Society and Culture

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Coronavirus: Effective strategies and tools for remote work during a pandemic

Dion Hinchcliffe

Whether or not coronavirus becomes a full outbreak, the trend of working from afar is currently experiencing a major boost as businesses shift to digital channels and more people avoid physical gatherings. Here are key approaches and tools to get the most from remote work

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Cynefin St David’s Day 2020 (2 of n)

Dave Snowden

In my first post in this series, I talked about the renaming of the disorder domain into A/C (for short) standing for Aporetic or Confused for what used to be called authentic or inauthentic disorder.

My 25 Years of Ed Tech

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Martin Weller has released his book 25 Years of Ed Tech today. It's a nice read; you are encouraged to check it out. But I have to confess, on having looked at the table of contents, I thought that it captured my career pretty well. Of course, that was not Weller's objective.

Remembering Freeman Dyson

Doc Searls

By his own description , Freeman was a frog: Some mathematicians are birds, others are frogs. Birds fly high in the air and survey broad vistas of mathematics out to the far horizon.

Survey 130

making sense of our digital world

Harold Jarche

The spread of the novel corona virus COVID-19 is having a massive effect on our connected world. Schools are being shut, quarantines are in effect, and airlines have cancelled certain flight routes. So where are we getting our information from?

Feed 159

How to Promote Creativity in Your L&D Team

TOPYX LMS

An L&D team is critical to the overall success of a business. This is because, according to the McKinsey Institute, 1 these teams are responsible for: Attracting and retaining talent. Developing employees’ capabilities. Creating a values-based culture. Building an employer brand.

How To Facilitate Effective Virtual Meetings

Beth Kanter

In light of the Coronavirus, many nonprofits are engaging in scenario planning. Organizations have also been encouraging their employees to work from home or enlisted travel bans. The list of conferences cancelled is growing, with some now being delivered a virtual gatherings.

The universe is a start-up

Doc Searls

Earth is 4.54 billion years old. It was born 9.247 years after the Big Bang , which happened 13.787 billion years ago. Meaning that our planet is a third the age of the Universe.

remote work and learning

Harold Jarche

I have been working and learning remotely since 2003, when I became a freelancer. I live in a fairly remote location — Atlantic Canada — away from major metropolitan hubs. I had to understand remote technologies in order to stay connected to my peers and potential clients.

FAQ 159

Increase Employee Engagement by Avoiding These 3 eLearning Mistakes

TOPYX LMS

There is a lot of information available about how to implement eLearning correctly and in a way that yields a good ROI for your training investment, but there’s a lack of information about mistakes to avoid using your eLearning LMS.

Going #Faceless

Doc Searls

Facial recognition by machines is out of control. Meaning our control. As individuals, and as a society. Thanks to ubiquitous surveillance systems, including the ones in our own phones , we can no longer assume we are anonymous in public places or private in private ones.