Global Trends and Business Strategy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

T he article reminds us that the trend is your friend is an old adage that applies to business strategy as well as to investing. Major trends involve competing complex forces interacting with each other, making it even more difficult to ascertain where things are heading.

Understanding complexity

Harold Jarche

Thinking of complex adaptive systems as merely complicated entities that can be regulated like machines can lead to disaster, as Niall Ferguson shows in his recent book. Human systems are complex. He also elaborates on 16 attributes of effective ways to address complex problems.

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Liminal & situated strategy

Dave Snowden

In that meeting we were looking at how to do strategy in the complex domain. For the moment I will focus on the use in strategy and start with some basic principles. But in the complex world things are different.

Coherence in complexity

Harold Jarche

Anecdote reports that John Kotter, leadership guru , is accepting that methods like his 8-step process for leading change may not be effective in the face of complexity. Complexity, driven by global networked communications, is the main factor. complexity InternetTime SocialBusiness

Complex Systems and the “Rashomon Effect”

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

But part of my fascination with the subject is that I often ask myself similar questions when thinking about the equally mysterious world of highly complex emergent systems, that is, systems where the whole can at times be quite different from the sum of their parts.

Scale and Complex Systemic Innovation

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

But managing the kind of disruptive innovations that change the rules of the game requires a different management style based on identifying a brand new idea, moving quickly to establish an early market presence, and continuous market experimentation to refine the offerings and establish the company’s strategy. This kind of complex systemic innovation leverages lots of known ideas and makes them work together to help address important problems.

The Complex Nature of Cloud-based Innovation

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Cloud Computing Complex Systems Economic Issues Education and Talent Innovation Management and Leadership Services Innovation Smart Systems Society and Culture Technology and Strategy By now, most will agree that cloud computing is a major transformational force in the world of IT.

Creating a knowledge strategy

Dave Snowden

Today I delivered a half day workshop on Creating a KM Strategy and I have, as promised, loaded the slides to our web site for those interested. I'm back at KM World in Washington having keynoted at the event for well over a decade now.

Design Principles for Complex, Unpredictable, People Oriented Systems

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

An IBM Global CEO Study conducted in 2010 concluded that complexity was the primary challenge emerging out of its conversations with 1,500 CEOs and senior government officials. CEOs told us they operate in a world that is substantially more volatile, uncertain and complex. Over the past several years, we have seen a rising emphasis on design, creativity and holistic thinking in business to help us deal with an increasingly volatile, unpredictable complex world.

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Re-wiring for the Complex Workplace

Harold Jarche

Complexity is the new normal. Today’s complicated organizations are now facing increasingly complex business environments that require agility in simultaneously learning and working. Re-wiring for complexity. Let people, not rules, be your risk mitigation strategy.

Principles for Managing Strategy and Innovation

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

When technology and market environments go through major changes, as is certainly the case today, previously successful business strategies will no longer work, no matter how much you try to fix them. These questions are the subject of MIT Professor Michael Cusumano’s recent book Staying Power: Six Enduring Principles for Managing Strategy and Innovation in an Uncertain World. The book was named one of the best business books on strategy in 2011 by strategy+business magazine.

Big Data, Complex Systems and Quantum Mechanics

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In thinking about this question over the last few years, I started to notice that a number of subtle, non-intuitive concepts that I learned many years ago as a physics student seem to apply to the world of big data and information-based predictions in highly complex systems. So is the world of highly complex systems , especially those systems whose components and interrelationships are themselves quite complex, as is the case with systems biology and evolution. .

On the Complex Evolution toward Mobile Digital Payments

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In addition, by reaching out to financial institutions, merchants, application developers and others, Apple is helping bring together the different players in the payments ecosystem, something that’s absolutely essential to succeed in such a complex undertaking.

Social Learning, Complexity and the Enterprise

Harold Jarche

Our relationship with knowledge is changing as our work becomes more intangible and complex. PDL – Personal Directed Learning: from Clockwork & Predictable to Complexity & Surprising. In complex environments it no longer works to sit back and see what will happen.

Some Thoughts on the Development of Implementable, Winning Strategies

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

I recently read an article by strategy consultant and writer Ken Favaro which nicely explained how to best think about strategy in today’s business environment. But for companies that have implemented winning strategies, that’s not how it typically happens.”.

The Science of Complex Systems

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

When I look back over my long, relatively eclectic career, complex systems have been a common theme in all the activities I’ve been involved in. It started in the 1960s, when I was an undergraduate and graduate student at the University of Chicago majoring in physics, - the study of complex natural systems. The research for my thesis was focused on the highly complex world of atoms and molecules.

How Can We Ensure that Our Complex AI Systems Do What We Want Them to Do?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Things are even tougher with people-centric sociotechnical systems, which not only have to deal with potential software problems, but with the even more complex issues involved in human behaviors and interactions. What is it that makes these systems so intrinsically complex?

Managing Complex, Disruptive Innovations - Some Lessons Learned

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

So, when it’s become clear that major changes are inevitable, whether you like it or not, it is important to get on the learning curve, and seriously consider your strategy options. We succinctly described our e-business strategy as Web + IT.

Education Technology Strategies - Day One

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Moving the CIO to the heart of strategy

Ross Dawson

A key theme of the CIO workshops was their opportunity and responsibility to move to the center of strategy within their organizations. The CIO must be at the heart of strategy in any organization that hopes to succeed in the chaotic and complex times ahead.

Complex Sociotechnical Systems: the Case for a New Field of Study

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

They generally exhibit a level of complexity that is often beyond our ability to understand and control. Not only do they have to deal with the complexities associated with large scale hardware and software infrastructures, but with the even more complex issues involved in human and organizational behaviors. . A few weeks ago, MIT professor Joseph Sussman addressed these issues in a lecture - Complex Sociotechnical Systems: The Case for a New Field of Study.

The Complex Transition to the Age of the Cloud

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

While the skeptics’ concerns, - security, reliability, privacy, costs and others, - are quite real, the hardest part of implementing cloud strategies has little to do with technology. Cloud computing is a highly complex initiative - at the technical, business and organizational levels. And, one of the key lessons we all hopefully learned from the dot-com era is that complex, global initiatives take time. In June of 2008 I participated in a conference on cloud computing.

Building richer mental models is the heart of strategy – the role of scenario planning

Ross Dawson

Strategy is an intrinsically human task. Setting successful strategies is based on our ability to think effectively, both individually and collectively, about extraordinarily complex domains.

The Limits of Strategy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

When I look back upon my long career , one of the major factors shaping my views of business, strategy and innovation is the creative destruction that I saw buffeting the IT industry over most of that time. Is it that in spite of all their efforts in strategy formulation, their management was unable to anticipate them and were caught by surprise? In subsequent years, I was invited to come to their meetings and discuss strategies I was working on from time to time.

Complexity and Public Administration

Dave Snowden

Some 10 years ago now when I first became interested in how complexity science might be used in public administration there was a body of thinking but relatively few practical examples of applications. So what is applying complexity thinking to public policy really all about?

Leadership for Complexity

Clark Quinn

The other meme from the retreat event last weekend was the notion of leadership for complexity. We talked through how things are moving from complicated to complex (and how important it is to recognize the difference), and that organizations need to receive the wake-up call and start moving forward. What’s needed is leadership that can lead the organization to be able to leverage complexity for success. social strategy

Cynefin for strategy: new seminars

Dave Snowden

I've been working over the last three months on a new approach to strategy using the Cynefin framework. So I have changed the complexity seminar to focus on a walk through of a generic approach to strategy based on complexity thinking.

7 principles of intervention in complex systems

Dave Snowden

As it happens I was working on intervention strategy in Washington a week ago. Now one of the basic Cynefin mantras is that of safe-fail interventions, and lots of them, if the problem is complex. damping or amplification strategy. I may buy this T-Shirt as its a great slogan.

Blockchain and the Music Industry: Turning Pennies into Dollars

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Blockchain and Identity Complex Systems Data Science and Big Data Digital Money and Payments Economic Issues Innovation Media and Communications Services Innovation Society and Culture Technology and Strategy

Open Symposium: Policy and Strategy for Learning Analytics Deployment

George Siemens

We ( SoLAR ) are organizing an online symposium on Policy and Strategy for Learning Analytics Deployment. Educational data is complex. The problem of data, at a systems level, seems too large and too complex to tackle.

AI and the Productivity Paradox

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Artificial Intelligence Complex Systems Economic Issues Education and Talent Innovation Management and Leadership Services Innovation Smart Systems Society and Culture Technology and Strategy

Corporate Survival: Lessons from Biology

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Let’s take a closer look at the nature of complex adaptive systems. Why are these systems so complex? I found the most satisfying answer to this seemingly Socratic question in an excellent 2002 paper - Complexity and Robustness - by professors Jean Carlson and John Doyle.

Human-AI Decision Systems

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

I recently read The Human Strategy , a very interesting article on Human-AI decision systems by MIT Media Lab professor Sandy Pentland. But, despite the increasingly complex decisions that organizations are called upon to make, decision-making remains human-intensive and anecdotal.

Cloud Computing and the Supply Chain of Services

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Cloud is now an integral part of a company’s IT strategy, grounded in the day-to-day nuts and bolts of implementing change. Cloud Computing Complex Systems Economic Issues Innovation Services Innovation Technology and Strategy

The Emergence of Industry 4.0

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In its scale, scope and complexity, what I consider to be the fourth industrial revolution is unlike anything humankind has experienced before…”.

The Rise of Winner-Take-All Urbanism

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

With capital now abundant and generic, talent has become the linchpin asset of the knowledge economy, making capital highly dependent on talented experts to navigate our increasingly global and highly complex business environment.

Living with Complexity

Clark Quinn

His latest, Living with Complexity , is not as landmark a book as that, but it has some very astute thinking to present. The book, as the title implies, is largely about how complexity isn’t bad, it’s necessary, and the real issue is about designing to manage it. We want powerful systems to accomplish meaningful goals, and he makes the case that this naturally requires complexity, either at the front end or at the back end. design strategy

AI, Automation and the US Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

This report is further evidence that AI is now reaching the kind of market impact that requires well thought out strategies by both business and government.

AI and The Future of Work

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Artificial Intelligence Complex Systems Data Science and Big Data Economic Issues Education and Talent Innovation Management and Leadership Political Issues Smart Systems Society and Culture Technology and Strategy

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A Historical Perspective on the Digital Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

A few months ago, the magazine strategy+business (s+b) published a roundtable discussion between s+b editor-in-chief Art Kleiner , economic historian Carlota Perez , and PwC UK partner Leo Johnson.