Remove Complexity Remove Design Remove Patterns Remove Search

Complexity and Public Administration

Dave Snowden

Some 10 years ago now when I first became interested in how complexity science might be used in public administration there was a body of thinking but relatively few practical examples of applications. This has brought attention to approaches informed by complexity science for working with intractable problems as well as a way to square the circle of making localization workable and relevant. So what is applying complexity thinking to public policy really all about?

UX Week 2014 Keynote Josh Clark on the Future of Digital Product Design

Adaptive Path

Josh is the author of the book Tapworthy: Designing Great iPhone Apps, and frequently gives workshops and talks at conferences around the world. In this interview, Josh and I talk about the current trends in digital product design, and where those trends might be heading. Then touch suddenly brought in the centuries-old influence of industrial design. JJG: Like you, I have always seen design through the lens of storytelling. Josh: The more complex, the more surprises.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

The Social Network Is the Computer

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Our increasingly complex social interactions have been the critical factor in the exponential increase of human cranial capacity over the past few million years. “But today something is different.

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Retailers and Customers

John Hagel

Almost a decade ago, I detected an intriguing pattern regarding the unbundling and rebundling of firms (purchase unfortunately required). Of course, the pace and trajectory of unbundling (and related rebundling) differs across industries and geographies – the patterns are complex and fractal. When I first wrote about the broader unbundling pattern in the late 1990s – there was one big anomaly that many people kept pointing out to me – the Gap.

Social Physics - Reinventing Analytics to Better Predict Human Behaviors

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

T hey eventually discovered that all event-data representing human activity contain a special set of social activity patterns regardless of what the data is about. These patterns are common across all human activities and demographics, and can be used to detect emerging behavioral trends before they can be observed by any other technique. .

AI - the Creation of a Human-Centric Engineering Discipline

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Machine and deep learning are the latest examples of tools like the World Wide Web, search and analytics that are helping us cope with and take advantage of the huge amounts of information all around us. Practices, building blocks and tools have started to emerge, as have a number of sophisticated mathematical techniques such as those underlying deep learning. “What we’re missing is an engineering discipline with its principles of analysis and design…”, notes Jordan.

Where is Technology Taking the Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

From mainframe and supercomputers to PCs and workstation, IT was now being used in a wide variety of applications, from financial services and oil exploration, to computer-aided design and office systems. “The economy for the first time had serious computational assistance.”. Artificial Intelligence Complex Systems Data Science and Big Data Economic Issues Management and Leadership Political Issues Services Innovation Smart Systems Society and Culture Technology and Strategy

Wayne Sutton: how people use social media | Full Circle Associates

Nancy White

Same pattern, methinks. Home About Full Circle Contact Resources Wiki Full Circus Full Circle Associates connections for a changing world, online and offline… Aug 31 2008 Wayne Sutton: how people use social media Published by Nancy White at 3:42 pm under events , social media Good quote. Now take it in the context of how people are using social media in disaster preparedness and response with Gustav.

A Slow Community Movement? | Full Circle Associates

Nancy White

The article talks about the work of communities in Oaxaca who are eschewing schools and centrally designed learning experiences to take learning back into the hands of the community – on it’s own time, terms and tempo. A good community manager must be able to skip around, see patterns, scan the whole and then discern if and where to intervene in the system.

Ask Idealware: Solutions for Tagging and Archiving a Discussion List | Full Circle Associates

Nancy White

It also made me realize that this was yet another thing contributing to my recent pattern of “not getting to blogging.&# And remind people of the power of search. Will people go back and use the archived and tagged material, or will they follow the age old pattern of just asking again?

List 100

Creating More Intelligent Organizations

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

While there is no one definition everyone can agree to, we generally think that somebody who is intelligent is good at lots of cognitive tasks, including solving problems, comprehending complex ideas, reasoning and planing, learning quickly, adapting to new situations, and so on. It has identified a set of organizational genes or basic building blocks that apply to just about all of them, as well as a number of design patterns that come up over and over.

Experimentation: chocolate cakes and communicators | Full Circle Associates

Nancy White

What gets us moving beyond our customary habits and patterns? Viv McWaters on 29 Sep 2008 at 8:48 pm Hi Nancy Synchronicity does it for me every time – wakes me up when I start seeing a pattern.

Consulting in the Time of Corona (virus)

Dave Snowden

Emergency measures, however, seem to have forced new realities along – with China’s carbon footprint reported to have been cut by 25% due to a change in patterns of commute and industry, and companies rethinking how digital technology can be used to replace travel, this event might just nudge us along in how we rethink the future of work in general. When we interpret the data, we start from the patterns.

Why is it so Difficult to Make Long-Term Predictions?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Much effort will be put into the designing of vehicles with Robot-brains vehicles that can be set for particular destinations and that will then proceed there without interference by the slow reflexes of a human driver.” . Once they reached a good-enough stage, leading edge innovators and investors moved on to search for the next big thing. It’s not clear if the waves in our ICT age will be similar to those of the industrial age or if they will start a whole new pattern.

Issues 200

Big Data Takes Center Stage

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In 2000, only one-quarter of the world’s stored information was digital and therefore subject to search and analysis. Sampling requires anticipating how the data will be used so you can design the proper sample. Or, at least it’s good enough in the early stages of an empirical science, when we are looking for patterns that will help us predict future events and behaviors without necessarily having a good model or theory of why they happen.

Data 191

Where is Technology Taking the Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

From mainframe and supercomputers to PCs and workstation, IT was now being used in a wide variety of applications, from financial services and oil exploration, to computer-aided design and office systems. “The economy for the first time had serious computational assistance.”. Artificial Intelligence Complex Systems Data Science and Big Data Economic Issues Management and Leadership Political Issues Services Innovation Smart Systems Society and Culture Technology and Strategy

The World Cafe Community – Virtual Cafes? | Full Circle Associates

Nancy White

Truly, I’d love a month to research this sort of thing and things like useful patterns and practices in online events… and so many other things. Amy Lenzo on 24 Oct 2008 at 12:58 pm Obviously my search algorithms suck because I’m just finding this post! Is there a similar noticing of threads and patterns between all the topics, or within individual topics?

Search 100

Keeping the faith?

Dave Snowden

You might want to do a search on ‘Mending Walls’ both on this blog and the wider internet if you want more of the background. Robert Frost’s poem of that name is to my mind the poem of anthro-complexity and I have used it in several blog posts, for the first time recalling a meal with Stu Kauffman, Brian Arthur and Walter Freeman after an event at the Almaden Institute. In anthro-complexity and complexity in general, constraints are not always seen as things to remove.

Transcend II: Learning and ritual

Dave Snowden

I was talking yesterday about resurrecting an old project designed to gather medical stories around the general theme of the day I know I first killed someone Not an easy topic but the reality is that regret and hindsight often point to something you could have done differently.

New Tools Beget Revolutions: Big Data and the 21st Century Information-based Society

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

It will be complex, develop hitherto unforeseen forms, and will have to respond to unforeseen challenges. Big data is such a measurement revolution made possible by the new digital tools all around us, including location data transmitted by our mobile phones; searches, web links and social media interactions; payments and transactions; the myriads of smart sensors keeping track of the physical world; and so on. On May 22 I attended the 2013 MIT Sloan CIO Symposium.

Data 143

195 posts about MOOCs

Jay Cross

Designing and running a MOOC (in 9 easy steps) GEORGE SIEMENS | TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 4, 2012. X-based learning: sorting out pedagogies and design CLARK QUINN | THURSDAY, APRIL 12, 2012. MOOC on complexity JAY CROSS | WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 13, 2013. Power Searching with Google JAY CROSS | WEDNESDAY, JULY 11, 2012. patterns, social psychology, value network analysis, anthropology, complexity theory, and more. MOOC on complexity. Page 1 of 2.

eLgg 183

Three Mobile User Experience Trends to Watch in 2009

Adaptive Path

Most of us will agree that mobile user interfaces of the past were featured-laden, complex and off-putting for most users. Design decisions were largely based on product design; user interface was an afterthought. 2009 will be the year inspired mobile UI design goes mainstream. They’ll see user interface design as important as the product design. Creativity and invention in UI design will triumph over the logic and consistency of the past.

Trends 184

Reflections on the Nature of Human Organizations

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Geoffrey West , a physicist formerly at Los Alamos National Lab and now at the Santa Fe Institute , has analyzed the impact of scaling in complex systems including cities. They also discovered that the socioeconomic or human patterns of a city followed a similar power law, but this time it was superlinear with an exponent of 1.15. Urbanization is one of the major forces transforming societies all over the world.

Why Do Firms Exist?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Transaction costs are incurred in obtaining goods and services outside the firm, such as searching for the right people, negotiating a contract, coordinating the work, managing intellectual property and so on. There are actual organizational advantages to firms, such as the ability to marshal a wide range of resources to address very complex problems. Complex Systems Economic Issues Innovation Management and Leadership Society and Culture Technology and Strategy

Why do we need social business?

Harold Jarche

” Looking just at the key differences in the info-graphic, I’d like to dig into “Why” these differences are necessary: Greater acceptance of risks & failures: This is how complex problems are addressed, and all businesses are dealing with more complexity. We don’t do fail-safe design. Search engines give each worker more information and knowledge than any CEO had 10 years ago. complexity SocialLearning Wirearchy

Liminal Cynefin & ‘control’

Dave Snowden

I was searching for my original known-unknown-unknowable matrix for today’s post and, as you do, came across a variation of Liminal Cynefin I used at and event to talk about the whole issue of control within organisations. I always emphasis that Cynefin was designed as a conflict resolution framework as much as for understanding decision making – all aspects of sense-making. In a complex system we can only manage the evolutionary potential of there here and now.

The IT-based Transformation of Services

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In a series of talks and panel discussions , the workshop first reviewed the historical patterns of technology innovations and economic cycles, and then looked at the future of work economics in three key areas: technologies and societal infrastructure; skills and jobs; and careers and quality-of-life measures. Computer Aided Design (CAD) systems, for example, enable engineers to design significantly more complex objects that they otherwise would have been able to.

Fixing the US Jobs Problem

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

His views on these highly complex and politically charged challenges are among the most rational, pragmatic and non-ideological I have seen. Not at all, he writes “The markets are doing what they are supposed to do: searching for and employing valuable human (and other) resources on a global basis. This generally falls under the heading of protectionism, risks reciprocal action, and sets an escalating pattern almost certain to cause more harm than good.

Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

As new data is ingested, the system rewires itself based on whatever new patterns it now finds. One-layer neural networks, - pretty much what was possible with the then available computers, - could only find simple patterns in the data, which was insufficient to address real world machine learning problems. To help illustrate the scale and complexity of these networks, Lewis-Kraus writes: “An average [human] brain has something on the order of 100 billion neurons.

Cynefin St David’s Day (4 of 5)

Dave Snowden

In this penultimate post in the current series, I want to look at what you can manage in the complex domain of Cynefin and return to the which domain is X in debate. They have a key set of intuitions and experiences of dealing with reality in the complex domain; but an understanding of constraints moves the debate from an either/or to a both/and. With our knowledge of complexity a de-merger is called for menege for order and maneggiare for complex.

In praise of Texture

Dave Snowden

It is this story-form that I find most similar to our current condition, and most suitable for complexity. “I search for the realness, the real feeling of a subject, all the texture around it… I always want to see the third dimension of something… I want to come alive with the subject” – Andrew Wyeth, Artist. Patterns and texture . It will be interesting when we start collection of COVID-19 stories to see how the patterns shift.

In praise of Texture

Dave Snowden

It is this story-form that I find most similar to our current condition, and most suitable for complexity. “I search for the realness, the real feeling of a subject, all the texture around it… I always want to see the third dimension of something… I want to come alive with the subject” – Andrew Wyeth, Artist. Patterns and texture . It will be interesting when we start collection of COVID-19 stories to see how the patterns shift.

Communication

Dave Snowden

Nancy Dixon, in response to my keynote yesterday, expressed a preference for getting people together to talk about things rather than gathering narrative into a database which "spits out the patterns". She argued that Appreciate Inquiry and Future Search, both workshop focused, were techniques able to deal with multiple ontologies. Now in the keynote I had been arguing that most knowledge management programmes start in the central box of the complex domain model.

Social Media Planning and Evaluation for NGOs | Full Circle Associates

Nancy White

This topic is designed to give you some tools and ideas for including social media appropriately in your overall organizational strategic plan and to measure its effectiveness. Do a search to see who has linked to that post? (Do Do you know how to do this on Google, Yahoo or Microsoft search? On the other hand, if you believe in the emergence of new patterns, complexity and the need to adapt to circumstances, then you are likely to embrace social media for development.

Single Question Interview: David Merrill of Tacolab on Siftables

Adaptive Path

The motivation for Siftables was a realization that there was no human-computer interface that simultaneously leveraged our visual search/pattern-matching capabilities and our manual dexterity for handling collections of objects. Imagine a pile of Legos on the table in front of you, and think about how you would inspect, then sift and sort the pieces in search of particular ones or to categorize them into groups. Tags: Technology Interaction Design Futures

Supporting our Brains

Clark Quinn

One of the ways I’ve been thinking about the role mobile can play in design is thinking about how our brains work, and don’t. Technology, for instance, is bad at pattern-matching and meaning-making, two things we’re really pretty good at. And to me, these are principles for design: So, for instance, our senses capture incoming signals in a sensory store. What we need are ways to look up that information, or search for it.

Educational Research in Learning Technology

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

philosophical behaviourism - this form of behaviourism allows that there are internal states but notes that they can only be described in terms of external behavior; phenomena such as intentions, desires and beliefs are described as dispositions the causes of which are complex and not reducible to these mental phenomena. I think the key point here is to note that not everything is designed to increase test scores. A wider search may reveal more such articles.

Automagically discover best content every day

Jay Cross

It’s also a dynamite research tool; you can search articles by topic, author, and/or timeframe. Working smarter draws upon design thinking, network optimization, brain science, user experience design, learning theory, organizational development, social business, technology, collaboration, web 2.0 patterns, social psychology, value network analysis, anthropology, and complexity theory.

The future of higher education and other imponderables

George Siemens

The patterns of change in higher education are surprisingly similar and global. pdf) state that “Change is as inevitable as the passage of time, but line of movement in the modern world seems to be accelerating and presenting higher education more complex challenges with each passing decade.” Not all countries are adopting the aggressive UK model, but tuition patterns internationally (.pdf)

Becoming MOOC

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

A student who cannot navigate complex websites, search for and assess resources, or make new friends through a social network may have difficulty navigating through a cMOOC. And in order to preserve and promote self-efficacy, design is important. Other writers refer to these criteria under the heading of flow, and trace its origin to game design. Constructivist principles acknowledge that real-life learning is messy and complex. There are two types of MOOCs.

Skills 214

The Glass Box And The Commonplace Book

Steven Berlin Johnson

there is any number that directs me to the page designed for words that begin with an E and whose first vowel after the initial letter is I, I must then write under the word Epistola in that page what I have to remark. Locke’s approach seems almost comical in its intricacy, but it was a response to a specific set of design constraints: creating a functional index in only two pages that could be expanded as the commonplace book accumulated more quotes and observations.

Does God Exist?

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

The complexity of our planet points to a deliberate Designer who not only created our universe, but sustains it today. This first argument points to the fact that the Earth is perfectly suited to life, and to the complexity of life on earth, and suggests that the only explanation for this is that God exists, created life on Earth, and continues to sustain it. When we look at random things, we see patterns in them. So it's no surprise that we recognize patterns.

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: The Power of Power Laws

John Hagel

In many respects, the history of Western business in the twentieth century represents an effort to build scalable operations through standardization designed to serve “average consumers”. These managers inherit from the industrial economy a belief that, even where the world is not yet Gaussian, it can be made so through design. Searching for simplicity Besides extreme events, there’s another implication of the shift to a Paretian world. Here's to patterns that connect!