learning in complexity and chaos

Harold Jarche

Most of our current work structures are designed to address complicated situations, such as constructing a building, launching a campaign, or designing a piece of equipment. Whenever people are involved, within a global context of climate change, the situation is likely complex.

Design thinking & complexity pt 3

Dave Snowden

I argued by implication that traditional design thinking prematurely converges on a requirement with is then throw over the wall the creatives to ideate a solution. Only once a pattern emerges should you move it into a more formal process: the complex to complicated shift.

hyper-connected pattern seeking

Harold Jarche

From a recent post by the BBC : Crucial in surviving all of these unpredictable variables is the use of network design tools – software suites that can simulate what happens at the point of disaster. Here is more confirmation that work is learning, and learning is the work.

hold space for complex problems

Harold Jarche

Professor Lynda Gratton at the London Business School outlines five forces in The Shift: The Future of Work is Already Here , that will shape the future patterns of work. Every one of the major challenges facing us is complex. But our organizations are not designed for complexity.

Complexity and Public Administration

Dave Snowden

Some 10 years ago now when I first became interested in how complexity science might be used in public administration there was a body of thinking but relatively few practical examples of applications. So what is applying complexity thinking to public policy really all about?

Managing in Complexity

Harold Jarche

As our markets and technologies get more complex, we need new models to get work done. However, complex systems are not fully knowable, though they can be partially understood through interaction with them. Complex problems cannot be solved alone. complexity Wirearchy Work

Complex actions workshop

Dave Snowden

Another sign that complexity thinking is coming into its own. There are new action forms for this, and also a whole new approach to portfolio management of complex interventions. A basic introduction to complexity theory using metaphor in the main.

“Shape Patterns, Not Programs”

Harold Jarche

Excellent lessons and a wealth of references are included in this paper, Changing Homeland Security: Shape Patterns, Not Programs which is applicable to a wide and sundry audience. Their future emerges; it is not designed. There is much good advice here for all organizations dealing with complex issues. Tags: Communities Work complexity

Complexity and Collaboration

Harold Jarche

timkastelle Nice post from @EskoKilpi: Complexity. The Internet changes the patterns of connectivity and makes possible new enriching variety in interaction. The sciences of complexity change our perspective and thinking. Our focus should be on the communicative interaction creating the continuously developing pattern that is our life. Tags: Friday's Finds complexity

Design principles in DSS software

Dave Snowden

Thursday and Friday is a mixture of a foresight event and a complexity conference and I then return home on Saturday. the next generation of Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning system for Singapore and as one of the main designers of 1.0

Complexity and change

Harold Jarche

Complexity. If it seems to too complex for L&D to take on the “responsibility&# for enabling learning across the organisation, then bear in mind that this role will probably be assumed by others, e.g. Bus Ops, IT or Internal Communications departments as their own interests widen.

Training Design

Tony Karrer

I've been struggling a bit to capture a concept that I believe represents a fairly fundamental shift in how we need to think about Training Design. Oh, and I called it Learning Design in the diagrams, but I'm afraid that it's really more about Training Design.

UX Week 2014 Keynote Josh Clark on the Future of Digital Product Design

Adaptive Path

Josh is the author of the book Tapworthy: Designing Great iPhone Apps, and frequently gives workshops and talks at conferences around the world. In this interview, Josh and I talk about the current trends in digital product design, and where those trends might be heading.

Six habits for visual designers new to UX design.

Adaptive Path

I haven’t noticed much basic guidance for visual designers new to the UX world. Often these are positions designing for singular needs. Develop an eye for patterns. Reoccurring themes can be as simple as a control repeated in a user flow or as complex as scripted interactions. The more you look at wireframes and schematics, the more you can pinpoint patterns to describe. Siloing yourself strictly to visual design is too isolating.

Design 176

Strategy and Execution in an Increasingly Complex World

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Twenty-thirty years ago, the business world was arguably less complex, slower moving and more predictable. Once upon a time, design and manufacturing were quite distinct steps in the development of products. But, as development cycles start to shrink, we saw the rise of design for manufacturability , that is, the close collaboration between engineering design and manufacturing so that products are as easy as possible to manufacture.

All Social is Learning | Organizational Knowledge Design

Martijn Linssen

Home About Complexity Reading List Knowledge Management Reading List All Social is Learning John 8 comments Decision Science , Social Media Nov 22 I’ve been reflecting lately on my brief sojourn into education reform prior to returning to “the world.”

Design 249

Designing for an uncertain world

Clark Quinn

My problem with the formal models of instructional design (e.g. Note: I let my argument lead where it must, and find I go quite beyond my intended suggestion of a broader learning design. Dave Snowden’s Cynefin model, recommending various approaches depending on the relative complexity of the situation, provides a top-level strategy for action, but doesn’t provide predictions about how to support learning, and I think we need more. Now think about learning design.

Design 174

The Future IMS Learning Design

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

The Future IMS Learning Design What is the future of learning design? Joel Greenberg My own personal view: maybe the world is moving on, and maybe the idea of 'design' is a bit old fashioned. Conclusions: issues about efficiency, limitations of the generic approach (it gets very complex), complexity of generic serving descriptions (Symbian. Instead of trying to systematize, to sequence, a more appropriate approach is based around patterns and connections.

Design 122

The UX of Money: How Interaction Design Can Help

Adaptive Path

This is where interaction design can help. For anyone designing for consumer finance — banking, investing, billpay, money management tools, insurance providers or any business selling “savings&# as a value proposition (as a consultant, I’ve learned a lot through having had opportunities to touch all of these areas) — here are some design principles you can employ to make saving a little easier for us all: Create perceptions that motivate.

Design 126

Edge Perspectives with John Hagel: Retailers and Customers

John Hagel

Almost a decade ago, I detected an intriguing pattern regarding the unbundling and rebundling of firms (purchase unfortunately required). Of course, the pace and trajectory of unbundling (and related rebundling) differs across industries and geographies – the patterns are complex and fractal.

The Simple Test and Complex Phenomena

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

And this quiz fits true to the pattern: A was the correct response 2 times, B 4 times, C 6 times, D 2 times, E none, and F once.) And it can be expressed generally as the following: The test author believes (based on some research, which is never cited) that "Learning is better if F" where 'F' is some principle, such as "Performance objectives that most clearly specify the desired learner behavior will produce the best instructional design." Test the page after design b.

A Slow Community Movement? | Full Circle Associates

Nancy White

The article talks about the work of communities in Oaxaca who are eschewing schools and centrally designed learning experiences to take learning back into the hands of the community – on it’s own time, terms and tempo.

The year’s top posts on Working Smarter

Jay Cross

Working smarter draws upon ideas from design thinking, network optimization, brain science, user experience design, learning theory, organizational development, social business, technology, collaboration, web 2.0 Blogging Community Complexity Design Just Jay MOOCs Working Smarter

PKM 166

Social Physics - Reinventing Analytics to Better Predict Human Behaviors

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

T hey eventually discovered that all event-data representing human activity contain a special set of social activity patterns regardless of what the data is about.

Experimentation: chocolate cakes and communicators | Full Circle Associates

Nancy White

What gets us moving beyond our customary habits and patterns? Viv McWaters on 29 Sep 2008 at 8:48 pm Hi Nancy Synchronicity does it for me every time – wakes me up when I start seeing a pattern.

Thinking simply, in context

Dave Snowden

Now complexity theory is if anything a more radical shift in our understanding and it can hurt those accustomed to the case based approach to management, repeating recipes derived from past practice. Then the three basic heuristics of complexity management: Work with finely grained objects.

adapting to perpetual beta

Harold Jarche

To mark the anniversary, this excerpt from finding perpetual beta is a summary of what I believe are some of the most important issues facing organizational design today. Chaos, Complexity, Complication. Weather systems are complex. Pretty well all human systems are complex.

Why Organizations Don’t Learn

Jay Cross

Thus, they are prepared to deal with the daily surprises that are part of the baggage of complex work. pattern recognition. design thinking. navigating complex environments. How could the practice of management be updated to work in a complex, unpredictable world?

Wayne Sutton: how people use social media | Full Circle Associates

Nancy White

Same pattern, methinks. Home About Full Circle Contact Resources Wiki Full Circus Full Circle Associates connections for a changing world, online and offline… Aug 31 2008 Wayne Sutton: how people use social media Published by Nancy White at 3:42 pm under events , social media Good quote. Now take it in the context of how people are using social media in disaster preparedness and response with Gustav.

A Framework for Building AI Capabilities

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In the 1960s and 1970s, IT brought automation to a number of discrete business processes, including transaction processing, financial planning, engineering design, inventory management, payroll and personnel records.

Data 207

Has AI (Finally) Reached a Tipping Point?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

AI suffers from what’s become known as the AI effect : AI is whatever hasn’t been done yet, and as soon as an AI problem is successfully solved, the problem is no longer considered part of AI. “The same pattern will continue in the future,” notes the report. “

Tips 261

Ask Idealware: Solutions for Tagging and Archiving a Discussion List | Full Circle Associates

Nancy White

It also made me realize that this was yet another thing contributing to my recent pattern of “not getting to blogging.&# Will people go back and use the archived and tagged material, or will they follow the age old pattern of just asking again?

List 100

Minds and Machines

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

It suppresses complexity and information that might contradict its coherent story, unless System 2 intervenes because it realizes that something doesn’t quite feel right. Machines have a deep but narrow view of the world they were designed for.

Data 206

Why Do We Need Data Science when We’ve Had Statistics for Centuries?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Data analysis has been generally used as a way of explaining some phenomenon by extracting interesting patterns from individual data sets with with well-formulated queries. Unlike database querying, which asks What data satisfies this pattern (query)?

Corporate Survival: Lessons from Biology

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Let’s take a closer look at the nature of complex adaptive systems. Why are these systems so complex? I found the most satisfying answer to this seemingly Socratic question in an excellent 2002 paper - Complexity and Robustness - by professors Jean Carlson and John Doyle.

AI - the Creation of a Human-Centric Engineering Discipline

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Practices, building blocks and tools have started to emerge, as have a number of sophisticated mathematical techniques such as those underlying deep learning. “What we’re missing is an engineering discipline with its principles of analysis and design…”, notes Jordan.

Artificial Intelligence is Ready for Business; Are Businesses Ready for AI?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Demand forecasting, supply chain optimization, and improved product design and productivity. “ Organizations need to constantly anticipate the future to gain competitive advantage. AI allows businesses to provide better forecasts for their supply chain and design better offerings.

Where is Technology Taking the Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

From mainframe and supercomputers to PCs and workstation, IT was now being used in a wide variety of applications, from financial services and oil exploration, to computer-aided design and office systems. “The economy for the first time had serious computational assistance.”.

Data-Driven Decision Making: Promises and Limits

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

They tend to be complex, and unstructured because of the uncertainty and risks that generally accompany longer term decisions. There are quite a number of interesting cases where people applied data analysis to uncover patterns that were useful in dealing with an unexpected new situation.

Data 238

A Framework for Building AI Capabilities

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In the 1960s and 1970s, IT brought automation to a number of discrete business processes, including transaction processing, financial planning, engineering design, inventory management, payroll and personnel records.

Reflections on Storytelling

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

And, the more powerful, important and complex the messages you are trying to convey, the more important it is that you do so by telling a compelling and emotionally resonant story. . We are turning to both design and storytelling to help us address the increasingly complex world around us.

System 273

AI and The Future of Work

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

While such statistical pattern recognition approaches can be applied to many tasks, they’re no substitute for model formation , the main approach used by humans, - from toddlers to physicists, - to understand how the world works.

Data 183

Can AI Help Translate Technological Advances into Strategic Advantage?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Go is a very complex game, for which there are more possible board positions than there are particles in the universe. A recent Harvard Business Review article, - Designing the Machines that Will Design Strategy , - takes these questions a few steps further.