Nine Shift

More Evidence Schools Cause School Shooters

Nine Shift

New York City mandated a decline in suspensions in its public schools. The result? A 21% increase in suspensions, a ccording to this NYT story. And one of those kids killed another student with a knife and badly injured another student. Yes, we need to abandon all-but-hunting-rifles.

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Education Revolution Coming

Nine Shift

Between now and 2030 you will see a revolution in education. . Public support, and tax money, will return to both K-12 schools and higher education. College education will be recognized as the most important thing for economic prosperity, both for an individual and for communities and society.

Republicans and Democrats Starting to Come Together

Nine Shift

J ohn Boehner, the former speaker of the House and a leading Republican, this month endorsed legalizing marijuana, at least for medical purposes. That's a huge story. Because it shows the start of Republicans and Democrats coming together over the basic outlines of the 21st century. And legalizing marijuana is one of those bi-partisan fundamentals that Gen Y demands for this century. And this week Bernie Sanders spoke openly of a national law legalizing marijuana.

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Big Brother is Here: Thanks Google

Nine Shift

I had no idea Google listens in and records your in-person face-to-face conversations. In the ongoing uncovering of big tech's bad influence on society, my brilliant co-author assures me Big Brother is here, and it is Google. Two days ago she was talking with a young friend in-person about some beads made in India. The next day she got an ad on her cell phone for those very beads made in India. Her cell phone was not on during her conversation, just nearby. .

Buy 141

New Data on Suburbs Still In Decline

Nine Shift

Here's another way to measure the decline of suburbs: deaths versus births by county. This is the issue in my county. The county is growing in population, BUT the growth is in senior citizens, not working age people. The NYTimes did an excellent story on it recently.

Data 130

Lock Him Up !

Nine Shift

Notice that the majority of efforts to help boys involve paying adults, not providing resources for troubled boys. . When my brother was in high school, he stole some bikes. Appearing before the judge, the judge said "Don't do that again." My brother never did.

Why School Shooters Target Schools

Nine Shift

Until someone does better research, here's the evidence for why school shooters target schools. These young men have been humiliated and embarrassed in school. They have been punished in school. And their entire careers and future have been taken away from them by teachers and the schools. .

NineShift Exclusive: How People Will Travel

Nine Shift

A nother NineShift prediction: here's how people will travel between 2040-2100 in the United States. The fundamental economic driver is that 80% of people will travel 80% of the time by light rail and trains, with the primary factor being work. By Number of Rides Per Year. Light Rail & Trains, 70% Cars (half Uber, half owned cars) 20% Bicycle, walking, segway, bus and other 5% Plane travel 1-2% Margin of Error 5% Total: 101%.

Gender Pay Discrimination: Point B

Nine Shift

There's outright unethical and illegal gender pay discrimination against women that has to be stopped. But then there is Point B: complex, unresolved issues about gender and pay. . Claire Miller and the NYTimes like to scream 'discrimination' wherever they can, or can't, including nursing.

Yes, We Predicted the Decline of Suburbs

Nine Shift

" Nobody imagined it, really. " Writes Aaron Wiener this week i n the Washington Post about the decline in suburbs, and the rise in urban population. . Well, yes, we not only imagined it, we published it in 2003 in the NineShift book and it was covered by BBC radio worldwide. . I was surprised he wrote that. I thought, as a futurist, that he would have written that EVERYBODY had predicted it, not that no one had predicted it. Wiener is a senior editor at Mother Jones.

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#1 Story of the Year 2017

Nine Shift

CITIES REBUILD FOR THE 21st CENTURY. Toronto is building an area ‘from the Internet up.’ (top top drawings in the image below).

Report 141

#2 Story of the Year 2017

Nine Shift

GEN Y ANXIETY EPIDEMIC. NineShift co-author Julie Coates discovers this major crisis in post industrial societies. Our post on it got the biggest response from both Gen Yers and their parents this year, confirming the situation.

#3 Story of the Year 2017

Nine Shift

PEOPLE ARE EXHAUSTED BY CHANGE. That exhaustion is visible politically, but the causes lie in the societal changes that lead to political instability. We predict the political polarization will decline significantly beginning around 2020, just like it did 100 years ago.

#4 Story of the Year 2017

Nine Shift

UNEMPLOYMENT IN CANADA AND THE U.S. HITS ROCK BOTTOM. There are no more workers available. The acute shortage of college graduates, which NineShift predicted for 2017, is now here. The lack of four year college graduates is the most critical.

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#5 Story of the Year 2017

Nine Shift

TELECOMMUTING, THE SILENT REVOLUTION, KEEPS GROWING. Over 40% of workers now telecommute at least part time. Telecommuting has doubled in the last ten years.

The Top 5 Stories of the Year 2017

Nine Shift

From this year's all-new NineShift presentation, heard by 300 people live in-person and as a webinar this month. Only two more years to go and our story of the transformation of society from the Industrial Age to the Knowledge Society is complete. .

Class 141

Is College Accreditation a Sham?

Nine Shift

There are about 2,618 accredited colleges and universities in the United States. Here's the facts, about all of them: -They, on average, only graduate 55% of their students. That's an "F." They have tripled the debt their students incur over just ten years ago. The majority of students are given the wrong grade by their teachers. That's also an "F." They discriminate against half of their students, a violation of the Title IX law. They have dumped the U.S.

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Mental Health Another Dumb Excuse on Reducing Gun Deaths

Nine Shift

M ental health is a common, irrelevant, and dumb excuse for trying to reduce gun deaths. . I have heard that about 20% of mass shooters have mental health problems, exactly the same percentage as for the total population. My wife has noted that if "mental health issues" were the criteria for guns, both she and I would not be able to get a gun (not that either of us wants one), as we both take a medication for anxiety, like millions of other people. .

Tell Someone About Interesting Things in Your Life

Nine Shift

Tell someone, anyone, about interesting things that have happened in your life. . I read the NY Times obituaries and usually wish I had met that woman or man before they died, so they could tell me about such-and-so. .

100

Gender Pay Discrimination: Point A

Nine Shift

There's complex, tough and so-far unresolved issues regarding gender pay. And then there's outright no-good unethical, hopefully illegal, gender pay discrimination against women. . Claire Miller, in a NYTimes article about nursing , screams bloody discrimination about nurses. But is it?

"The Road of Death"

Nine Shift

I n England, there is a road where they have so many accidents, people have nicknamed it "The Road of Death." . Here's the kicker: there have been only 4 auto fatalities on the road in the last 5 years. .

141

China's Top Scientific Advance in 2017: Train Simulator

Nine Shift

The top scientific advance for 2017 in China's universities was named last week. It is a high speed train simulator.

Kevin Love and the Gen Y Anxiety Epidemic

Nine Shift

My brilliant co-author Julie Coates premiered her research on the Gen Y Anxiety Epidemic last week at our annual faculty development conference. . Kim Helms and Laura Pruit-Walker from Jacksonville State University in Alabama also did a session on student anxiety, also a first. Together they have identified a huge and hidden issue on campus, and in the workforce, for Gen Y. .

Issues 100

Is Peer Review the Cause of the College Accreditation Sham?

Nine Shift

Accreditation, apparently, has peer review as a critical element. That's got to be a big reason why accreditation is such a sham. The fox investigating the other foxes. No wonder us chickens are getting a bad deal. . Now back to college basketball tournament. Now There's a clean industry.

Review 100

A Good University That Almost Lost its Accreditation

Nine Shift

While flunking colleges and universities retain their accreditation, here's a good university doing work that no other college or university is doing. And it almost lost its accreditation a few months ago. . Chicago State University, an historically black university, is #9 in the nation in graduating African Americans in pharmacy. Number 9. In the nation. It is #6 in the nation in graduating African Americans in another health profession. Number 6. In the nation. .

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More Hypocrisy with Fearless Girl

Nine Shift

Americans love symbolism, rather than actually doing something constructive. Far easier to yell and scream over a symbol than solve the problem.

New Way to Evaluate Schools

Nine Shift

Surprise. The Chicago Public School system is the best among large city school systems in the country. It is based on a new, second and better way to evaluate schools: measure how much progress a student makes. Here's the story.

System 130

Light Rail Heavy Force Now

Nine Shift

Here's the latest light rail news: 1.Los Angeles. An extension of the Gold line in Los Angeles was announced last week. Another 12 miles. Another 6 stops. Another step forward for the car city becoming a train city. 2.Chicago.

RFP 130

Is Another Recession Coming in 2020 ?

Nine Shift

Our predictions stop at 01/01/2020 but our questions continue. There was a recession from 1920 through 1921. It lasted 18 months from peak (before business contracted) to trough (when business started expanding again.).

The World is Passing the U.S. By - - Japanese Example

Nine Shift

Here's a shocker: A Japanese train company apologized to its customers for being 20 seconds off schedule. . The train left the station 20 seconds early. . Here's my favorite Japanese high speed train facts: *The average Japanese train is 54 seconds behind schedule (seconds).

Big Money For Trains Coming

Nine Shift

"There's a ton of money out there" from investors interested in funding passenger rail in the United States, says James Coston, CEO of Corridor Capital , a Chicago based passenger rail development firm. . He spoke last week before passenger rail supporters trying to figure out how to fund a new passenger train route in Wisconsin. . The initial success of Brightline, a totally private passenger rail company in Florida, may be a success story that will turn on the spigot of money for trains.

The Societal Changes in Puerto Rico That May Affect You

Nine Shift

Some of the societal changes in Puerto Rico from the hurricane that, combined with the larger context of America, may affect you. There's less health care, poorer health insurance, which is one reason people are moving to the states. Big corporations are ready to swoop in and turn Puerto Rico into a rich-poor Disney land, buying up land and putting up fancy expensive "American" resorts and paying Puerto Ricans minimum wages. . Some young people are defiant in wanting to stay here.

Change 109

Arming Teachers Most Dangerous Idea Ever

Nine Shift

As someone who teaches teachers, giving them guns is both the most stupid, and most dangerous, idea ever. . As one gun expert said, when you shoot you are 70-80% accurate (given hundreds of hours of training). But if you are being shot at, which is the case in every school shooting, then one's accuracy firing back is 18%. . That means there's a 4 in 5 chance a teacher would hit an innocent student.

Should the School Have Expelled the Troubled Shooter?

Nine Shift

Let's explore the schools' role in school shootings. Should the Parkland school have expelled the soon-to-be shooter? The ROI didn't seem to be very beneficial. Why are schools allowed to expel any student? . Lacking the research, which I am going to guess doesn't even exist about the lead-up school events involving a shooter, I am going to theorize - - let's see what the research says - - that the school punished this kid. We know schools are biased against boys.

ROI 100

Texas High Speed Train Moves Forward Despite Texas

Nine Shift

The privately funded Japanese bullet train for Dallas to Houston is moving ahead, despite Texans' all consuming effort to stop prosperity and safety. A noted train expert told NineShift he believes the high speed train, which will go 220 mph, has a greater than 50-50 chance of becoming reality.

Threat or Menace? What Do You Think About Technology?

Nine Shift

Is technology moving us forward, and/or enslaving humankind? What do you think? Spengler writes 100 years ago: "Growth is a product of the Machine, which insists on being used and directed, and to that end centuples the powers of each individual. For the sake of the machine, human life becomes precious. Work becomes the great word of ethical thinking; in the 18th century it loses its derogatory implication in all languages. The machine works and forces man to co-operate.

What You Experienced the last 20 Years

Nine Shift

So, in thinking about Spengler's idea of a singular epoch or time frame in history, here are the three big things I think you and I have uniquely experienced over the past 20 years. 1.Eye opening discoveries. I remember the first time I did a live two-way video presentation for students and faculty at Moscow State University in Russia. I was taken aback seeing people I knew from my visits there, by the immediacy of it. The Emotional Experience.

Tips 100

Irony - - 100th Anniversary of Puerto Ricans Becoming Americans

Nine Shift

A little bit of irony as continental Americans discriminate against their fellow Americans living in Puerto Rico in hurricane aid. Yes, it is the 100th anniversary of Puerto Ricans becoming American citizens. . Fishing and tourist village in Puerto Rico.

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The End of an Epoch

Nine Shift

We are close to the end (2020) of an historical epoch that no one before or after will ever fully understand, and more importantly feel, than you and I living it right now. . That's what Oswald Spengler suggests in The Decline of the West, published 100 years ago in 1918. He says every epoch or time period is unique unto itself. You and I when we look at a Van Gogh painting, we have no idea how people in his time experienced it emotionally. .

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Nature Deficit

Nine Shift

You would think getting out of doors in the city would count. But apparently, being out and about in the city doesn't come close, according to the research I read, to the mental benefits of being in a forest or mountain or (maybe?) isolated beach. . Joggers after their run.