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preparing for 2020

Harold Jarche

We cannot look at the 2020 workplace merely from the perspective of what will be different from today, as if these five years will pass in splendid isolation. This is a synopsis of my opening keynote for the workplace learning & VET stream at EduTECH15 in Brisbane today.

Four Basic Skills for 2020

Harold Jarche

In 2011, The Institute for the Future and the University of Phoenix published a report that looked at Future Work Skills 2020 (PDF). The report identified six drivers of change. I’ve added links to examples of each, three years later.

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2020 Workplace

Harold Jarche

In The 2020 Workplace , Jeanne Meister & Karie Willyerd make 20 predictions at the end of the book. William Gibson said, “the future is already here – it’s just not very evenly distributed.&#

The 2020 Workforce and the LMS Disconnect

Xyleme

Based on insights from her book , the podcast looks at trends and predictions about what the workforce will look like in 2020. Jeanne packs a tremendous amount of valuable information into a 19 minute podcast, so it’s worth a full listen, but here is a small glimpse: In 2020, there will be five generations in the workplace. 50% will be Millennials and Gen 2020 will just be entering the workforce. By 2020, the workplace will be highly personalized and social.

Future of Education 2020 Summit

Jay Cross

At a Stanford education conference this morning, speakers made presentation after presentation without once involving the audience, not even asking for questions. For the first couple of hours there was zero audience participation.

T&D Learning in 2020

Harold Jarche

In Learning in 2020 , trends in Tools, Technology, Workforce, Talent Management and Future Leaders are discussed. ASTD interviewed several people in our field and asked what things will look like in 10 years.

Harold Jarche » T&D Learning in 2020

Harold Jarche

In Learning in 2020 , trends in Tools, Technology, Workforce, Talent Management and Future Leaders are discussed.

Why Republicans Will Win in 2020

Nine Shift

NineShift has predicted the GOP will win the White House in 2020. What the two political analysts say is that by hitting bottom, the GOP has the opportunity to redesign itself to appeal to minorities, women and Gen Y in 2020. Wild Card: We predict GOP will win in 2020 based partly, but maybe primarily, on its advocacy for private passenger trains

Clinton's Vice President Choice Helps Doom Dems in 2020

Nine Shift

But 2020 is a different matter. The Dems are taking Gen Y for granted, and by 2020 the GOP will be embracing the Gen Y agenda as much as the Dems. "While prudence may prosper in a static world, it is a futile virtue in a dynamic one." So wrote American author Winston Churchill in a book written in 1916, one hundred years ago. Don't forget the 100 year parallels. Just read that passage this week, and 1916 of course just like 2016.

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When Republicans Will Support Trains - - in 2020.

Nine Shift

Republicans will support trains beginning in 2020. By 2020 Republicans will realize that: 1.Gen Y votes. The for-profit train scenario will seem like a face-saving way to endorse the inevitable, what by 2020 will already be fact.

Tea Party and GOP Racing Against the 2020 Clock

Nine Shift

By 2020 these demographic changes will have been done in American society: 1)Gen Y's agenda will dominant. Older white men with high school degrees will no longer be able to win-out over Gen Y by 2020. It already dominates, but by then it will be clear even to the GOP. 2)America will be more urban, and suburban power will be over. 3)America will be majority minority. And minority majority. .

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2016 All-New Prediction #3: More New Model Schools Built Around 2020

Nine Shift

Here's the first of our three all-new predictions: around 2020 more new model schools will be built. Right now, all but a handful of school and college buildings are based on the factory-model school.

2016 Prediction #4: Dems Win White House This Year; GOP in 2020

Nine Shift

In 2020, like 1920, Gen Y will want a "return to normalcy." To find out who will win the Presidency this year, just look back 100 years. . We predicted this several years ago. The reason Democrats will win the White House this year is economic, and demographic.

The Internet of things will dwarf the Internet of people

Ross Dawson

In 2008 the number of devices connected to the Internet surpassed the number of people connected, and in 2020 there will be 50 billion things connected, 7 times the world’s population, according to Dave Evans of Cisco.

Adaptive Learners, Not Adaptive Learning

George Siemens

The skills needed by 2020 are process attributes and not product skills. Some variation of adaptive or personalized learning is rumoured to “disrupt” education in the near future. Adaptive courseware providers have received extensive funding and this emerging marketplace has been referred to as the “holy grail” of education (Jose Ferreira at an EdTech Innovation conference that I hosted in Calgary in 2013).

Preparing for the future of work with PKM

Harold Jarche

” This is linked to the Institute for the Future ‘s graphic of Future Work Skills 2020 identifying six disruptive shifts as well as the skills necessary to deal with them: Sense-making.

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The Adblock War Series

Doc Searls

What could/should advertising look like in 2020, and what do we need to do now for this future? Here is a list of pieces I’ve written in the last two months on what has come to be known as the “adblock wars”: Separating advertising’s wheat and chaff (12 August 2015). Apple’s content blocking is chemo for the cancer of adtech (26 August 2015). Will content blocking push Apple into advertising’s wheat business? (29 29 August 2015).

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beyond the reach of automation

Harold Jarche

preparing for 2020. This week I am reviewing my posts from 2015 and putting some of the core ideas together. Here are some thoughts on how the increasing automation of knowledge work can be addressed by a new approach to organizational leadership. Any work that is routine will be automated.

Launch of Newspaper Extinction Timeline for every country in the world

Ross Dawson

First out is USA in 2017, followed by UK and Iceland in 2019 and Canada and Norway in 2020. Back in August I predicted that newspapers in their current form will be irrelevant in Australia in 2022.

Cost 116

Owning our data

Harold Jarche

With such a large network encompassing so many devices and objects (Cisco says there will be 50 billion by 2020) there’s a lot of complexity, and plenty of opportunity for errors and malfeasance.

Data 111

Crowdsourcing for social development and economic opportunity: Case study of Malaysia

Ross Dawson

Digital Malaysia is the government agency tasked with developing Malaysia as a digital nation towards 2020. billion (US$700 million) in additional gross national income by 2020.

Mainstream Republicans Start to Take Back Party from Tea Party

Nine Shift

In 2020 GOP will win the White House. And by 2020 both Republicans and Democrats will support trains and funding a passenger rail infrastructure. It''s good news for the country. This week mainstream Republicans started to take out the "Tea" in their Party.

Mainstream Republicans Start to Take Back Party from Tea Party

Nine Shift

In 2020 GOP will win the White House. And by 2020 both Republicans and Democrats will support trains and funding a passenger rail infrastructure. It''s good news for the country. This week mainstream Republicans started to take out the "Tea" in their Party.

What does the Internet of Everything mean to you?

Harold Jarche

“What we should be debating in the first place is not the design of new funky home automation gadgets, but developing industry standards, building growing ecosystems and figuring out how to provide security for the users of 50 billion devices that will be connected to the Web in 2020.”

Organizations, work, and learning

Harold Jarche

Four basic skills for 2020. The five most-viewed posts here this past year provide a good synopsis of the over 150 articles I have written since January. They cover the main themes of organizations, work, and learning, that I have been discussing on this blog since 2004.

Digital Twin: Bringing the Physical and Digital Worlds Closer Together

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Experts estimate that the number of connected things or devices will reach 50 billion by 2020, growing to 100s of billions in the decades ahead. GE estimates that new Industrial Internet applications will create at least $15 billion of new value for GE alone by 2020.

Election Eve Prediction

Nine Shift

And that Republicans will win the White House in 2020. Just a reminder four years ago we predicted Democrats would win the White House in 2016. Sticking with it. Sticking with that too

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“Oh, you’re one of those. You want to work anywhere, anytime.”

Dan Pontefract

As a result, we’ve lowered our real estate costs by $50 million annually, which also helps our 2020 goal of reducing our overall carbon footprint by 25%. My first few days as a team member at TELUS in November of 2008 were rather interesting.

Changing the world of work

Harold Jarche

Our chroniclers believe it started around 2020, when networks became an invisible fabric of society. Change Agents Worldwide has just released its first ebook featuring 21 views on the future of work.

Change 108

The BLS Thinks These Jobs Will Grow a Lot. I Think They’re Wrong.

Andy McAfee

In a post at The Atlantic , Jordan Weissmann draws a couple interesting graphs using data from the BLS’s recently-released projections of job growth to 2020.

In the global talent economy over 50% will be mobile workers

Ross Dawson

It is safe to envisage that by around 2020 half the global talent pool will be available to companies located anywhere in the world. [This post first appeared on the Getting Results From Crowds book website]. Research firm IDC has forecast that there will be 1.3 billion ‘mobile workers’ in the world by 2015, representing 37.2% of the global workforce.

The Top Ten Emerging Technologies of 2016

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

For the past several years, the World Economic Forum (WEF) has published an annual list of the Top Ten Emerging Technologies that would likely have the greatest impact on the world in the years to come. A few weeks ago, the WEF published its 2016 Top Ten list.

The future of healthcare: big data, tele-health, community care and more

Ross Dawson

In the lead-up to the conference, an article Healthcare 2020: what will the future of healthcare look like in Australia? During Australian Healthcare Week on March 15-17, I will be delivering two keynotes on the future of healthcare, at the Health Facilities Design & Development conference and the Healthcare Efficiency Through Technology conference. draws on an interview with me to explore this space.

Republican Party Begins Comeback

Nine Shift

While the GOP will lose the White House in 2016, we predict, it will win the Presidency in 2020. The Republican Party turned a big corner this month and began its comeback. The mainstream Republican leadership reversed course. Here''s the story. Instead of capitulating, accommodating, or encouraging the Tea Party (it did all three in the past three years), the GOP mainstream has now turned itself against the Tea Party. This marks the beginning of the comeback of the GOP.

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Republican Party Begins Comeback

Nine Shift

While the GOP will lose the White House in 2016, we predict, it will win the Presidency in 2020. The Republican Party turned a big corner this month and began its comeback. The mainstream Republican leadership reversed course. Here''s the story. Instead of capitulating, accommodating, or encouraging the Tea Party (it did all three in the past three years), the GOP mainstream has now turned itself against the Tea Party. This marks the beginning of the comeback of the GOP.

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Job Creation and America's Future

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

The very next page uses the same big text format to summarize the very tough challenges the country faces: we need 21 million jobs by 2020 to return to full employment, - that is, to return to the 5% pre-recession unemployment level instead of the current level of over 9%; the job-growth scenarios modeled by McKinsey ranged from 9.3 million, so only their most optimistic high growth scenario gets us back to full employment; in 2020, there will likely be a 1.5

Will technology harm or help young people’s brains? A highly nuanced debate

Ross Dawson

The study selected 1,021 “experts” and asked them to choose between one of the following statements, with no other choices, with these results: Some 55% agreed with the statement: In 2020 the brains of multitasking teens and young adults are “wired” differently from those over age 35 and overall it yields helpful results.

Is FinTech Forcing Banking to a Tipping Point?

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

For the past few decades, digital technologies have been systematically transforming one industry after another. T he transformations have generally proceeded along three different stages. First comes the use of IT to improve the productivity and quality of production-oriented, back-end processes.

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Michelle Bachman and the Decline of the Tea Party

Nine Shift

Like Y2K, by 2020 only a few people will remember the Tea Party aside from historians. The Tea Party is not dead. But it will be after the 2016 elections.

How advertising can regulate itself

Doc Searls

I visit the subject (with Don’s help) in this post at Wharton’s Future of Advertising site, where contributors are invited to say where they think advertising will be in the year 2020. My summary paragraph: Here is where this will lead by 2020: The ability of individuals to signal their intentions in the marketplace will far exceed the ability of corporations to guess at those intentions, or to shape them through advertising.