preparing for 2020

Harold Jarche

We cannot look at the 2020 workplace merely from the perspective of what will be different from today, as if these five years will pass in splendid isolation. This is a synopsis of my opening keynote for the workplace learning & VET stream at EduTECH15 in Brisbane today.

The 2020 Workforce and the LMS Disconnect

Xyleme

Based on insights from her book , the podcast looks at trends and predictions about what the workforce will look like in 2020. Jeanne packs a tremendous amount of valuable information into a 19 minute podcast, so it’s worth a full listen, but here is a small glimpse: In 2020, there will be five generations in the workplace. 50% will be Millennials and Gen 2020 will just be entering the workforce. By 2020, the workplace will be highly personalized and social.

Trending Sources

Four Basic Skills for 2020

Harold Jarche

In 2011, The Institute for the Future and the University of Phoenix published a report that looked at Future Work Skills 2020 (PDF). The report identified six drivers of change. I’ve added links to examples of each, three years later.

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Future of Education 2020 Summit

Jay Cross

At a Stanford education conference this morning, speakers made presentation after presentation without once involving the audience, not even asking for questions. For the first couple of hours there was zero audience participation.

The 10 most important work skills for 2020

Jane Hart

This infographic was produced by Top10OnlineColleges.org and shows the 6 drivers for change as well as the 10 most important work skills for 2020. Social learning

New 2020 Prediction: The Big Switch

Nine Shift

Sometime shortly after 2020 we will see "The Big Switch." For passenger trains, the government will own the land and track. And the trains will be run by private for-profit companies. Right now the government runs the trains, and private companies (freight railroads) own almost all the track.

Is Another Recession Coming in 2020 ?

Nine Shift

Our predictions stop at 01/01/2020 but our questions continue. There was a recession from 1920 through 1921. It lasted 18 months from peak (before business contracted) to trough (when business started expanding again.).

Why Republicans Will Win in 2020

Nine Shift

NineShift has predicted the GOP will win the White House in 2020. What the two political analysts say is that by hitting bottom, the GOP has the opportunity to redesign itself to appeal to minorities, women and Gen Y in 2020. Wild Card: We predict GOP will win in 2020 based partly, but maybe primarily, on its advocacy for private passenger trains

T&D Learning in 2020

Harold Jarche

In Learning in 2020 , trends in Tools, Technology, Workforce, Talent Management and Future Leaders are discussed. ASTD interviewed several people in our field and asked what things will look like in 10 years.

Harold Jarche » T&D Learning in 2020

Harold Jarche

In Learning in 2020 , trends in Tools, Technology, Workforce, Talent Management and Future Leaders are discussed.

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Clinton's Vice President Choice Helps Doom Dems in 2020

Nine Shift

But 2020 is a different matter. The Dems are taking Gen Y for granted, and by 2020 the GOP will be embracing the Gen Y agenda as much as the Dems. "While prudence may prosper in a static world, it is a futile virtue in a dynamic one." So wrote American author Winston Churchill in a book written in 1916, one hundred years ago. Don't forget the 100 year parallels. Just read that passage this week, and 1916 of course just like 2016.

When Republicans Will Support Trains - - in 2020.

Nine Shift

Republicans will support trains beginning in 2020. By 2020 Republicans will realize that: 1.Gen Y votes. The for-profit train scenario will seem like a face-saving way to endorse the inevitable, what by 2020 will already be fact.

Tea Party and GOP Racing Against the 2020 Clock

Nine Shift

By 2020 these demographic changes will have been done in American society: 1)Gen Y's agenda will dominant. Older white men with high school degrees will no longer be able to win-out over Gen Y by 2020. It already dominates, but by then it will be clear even to the GOP. 2)America will be more urban, and suburban power will be over. 3)America will be majority minority. And minority majority. .

2016 All-New Prediction #3: More New Model Schools Built Around 2020

Nine Shift

Here's the first of our three all-new predictions: around 2020 more new model schools will be built. Right now, all but a handful of school and college buildings are based on the factory-model school.

2016 Prediction #4: Dems Win White House This Year; GOP in 2020

Nine Shift

In 2020, like 1920, Gen Y will want a "return to normalcy." To find out who will win the Presidency this year, just look back 100 years. . We predicted this several years ago. The reason Democrats will win the White House this year is economic, and demographic.

The Emergence of Industry 4.0

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

has moved from what some saw as PR hype in 2013 to investment and real results today.” A third of the companies surveyed say that they’ve already achieved high levels of digitization, while almost three-quarters expect to do so by 2020.

The Internet of things will dwarf the Internet of people

Ross Dawson

In 2008 the number of devices connected to the Internet surpassed the number of people connected, and in 2020 there will be 50 billion things connected, 7 times the world’s population, according to Dave Evans of Cisco.

Adaptive Learners, Not Adaptive Learning

George Siemens

The skills needed by 2020 are process attributes and not product skills. Some variation of adaptive or personalized learning is rumoured to “disrupt” education in the near future. Adaptive courseware providers have received extensive funding and this emerging marketplace has been referred to as the “holy grail” of education (Jose Ferreira at an EdTech Innovation conference that I hosted in Calgary in 2013).

The Adblock War Series

Doc Searls

What could/should advertising look like in 2020, and what do we need to do now for this future? Here is a list of pieces I’ve written in the last two months on what has come to be known as the “adblock wars”: Separating advertising’s wheat and chaff (12 August 2015). Apple’s content blocking is chemo for the cancer of adtech (26 August 2015). Will content blocking push Apple into advertising’s wheat business? (29 29 August 2015).

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The Emerging Data Economy

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

IDC predicts that the total amount of digital data created worldwide will reach 44 zettabytes (10 21 ) by 2020 and 180 zettabytes by 2025. The Economist’ s May 6 issue referred to data in its cover as the world’s most valuable resource.

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Launch of Newspaper Extinction Timeline for every country in the world

Ross Dawson

First out is USA in 2017, followed by UK and Iceland in 2019 and Canada and Norway in 2020. Back in August I predicted that newspapers in their current form will be irrelevant in Australia in 2022.

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Preparing for the future of work with PKM

Harold Jarche

” This is linked to the Institute for the Future ‘s graphic of Future Work Skills 2020 identifying six disruptive shifts as well as the skills necessary to deal with them: Sense-making.

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Crowdsourcing for social development and economic opportunity: Case study of Malaysia

Ross Dawson

Digital Malaysia is the government agency tasked with developing Malaysia as a digital nation towards 2020. billion (US$700 million) in additional gross national income by 2020.

AI and Nonprofits: Will Bots Make Transition from Functional to Friendship?

Beth Kanter

With over 100,000 bots created on the Facebook Messenger platform and the rise of AI and conversational user interfaces (think SIRI), Gartner analysts predict by 2020 the average person will have more conversations with bots than their spouse.

Mainstream Republicans Start to Take Back Party from Tea Party

Nine Shift

In 2020 GOP will win the White House. And by 2020 both Republicans and Democrats will support trains and funding a passenger rail infrastructure. It''s good news for the country. This week mainstream Republicans started to take out the "Tea" in their Party.

Mainstream Republicans Start to Take Back Party from Tea Party

Nine Shift

In 2020 GOP will win the White House. And by 2020 both Republicans and Democrats will support trains and funding a passenger rail infrastructure. It''s good news for the country. This week mainstream Republicans started to take out the "Tea" in their Party.

The BLS Thinks These Jobs Will Grow a Lot. I Think They’re Wrong.

Andy McAfee

In a post at The Atlantic , Jordan Weissmann draws a couple interesting graphs using data from the BLS’s recently-released projections of job growth to 2020.

beyond the reach of automation

Harold Jarche

preparing for 2020. This week I am reviewing my posts from 2015 and putting some of the core ideas together. Here are some thoughts on how the increasing automation of knowledge work can be addressed by a new approach to organizational leadership. Any work that is routine will be automated.

Owning our data

Harold Jarche

With such a large network encompassing so many devices and objects (Cisco says there will be 50 billion by 2020) there’s a lot of complexity, and plenty of opportunity for errors and malfeasance.

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Digital Twin: Bringing the Physical and Digital Worlds Closer Together

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Experts estimate that the number of connected things or devices will reach 50 billion by 2020, growing to 100s of billions in the decades ahead. GE estimates that new Industrial Internet applications will create at least $15 billion of new value for GE alone by 2020.

“Oh, you’re one of those. You want to work anywhere, anytime.”

Dan Pontefract

As a result, we’ve lowered our real estate costs by $50 million annually, which also helps our 2020 goal of reducing our overall carbon footprint by 25%. My first few days as a team member at TELUS in November of 2008 were rather interesting.

What does the Internet of Everything mean to you?

Harold Jarche

“What we should be debating in the first place is not the design of new funky home automation gadgets, but developing industry standards, building growing ecosystems and figuring out how to provide security for the users of 50 billion devices that will be connected to the Web in 2020.”

Election Eve Prediction

Nine Shift

And that Republicans will win the White House in 2020. Just a reminder four years ago we predicted Democrats would win the White House in 2016. Sticking with it. Sticking with that too

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In the global talent economy over 50% will be mobile workers

Ross Dawson

It is safe to envisage that by around 2020 half the global talent pool will be available to companies located anywhere in the world. [This post first appeared on the Getting Results From Crowds book website]. Research firm IDC has forecast that there will be 1.3 billion ‘mobile workers’ in the world by 2015, representing 37.2% of the global workforce.

Organizations, work, and learning

Harold Jarche

Four basic skills for 2020. The five most-viewed posts here this past year provide a good synopsis of the over 150 articles I have written since January. They cover the main themes of organizations, work, and learning, that I have been discussing on this blog since 2004.

The future of healthcare: big data, tele-health, community care and more

Ross Dawson

In the lead-up to the conference, an article Healthcare 2020: what will the future of healthcare look like in Australia? During Australian Healthcare Week on March 15-17, I will be delivering two keynotes on the future of healthcare, at the Health Facilities Design & Development conference and the Healthcare Efficiency Through Technology conference. draws on an interview with me to explore this space.

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Republican Party Begins Comeback

Nine Shift

While the GOP will lose the White House in 2016, we predict, it will win the Presidency in 2020. The Republican Party turned a big corner this month and began its comeback. The mainstream Republican leadership reversed course. Here''s the story. Instead of capitulating, accommodating, or encouraging the Tea Party (it did all three in the past three years), the GOP mainstream has now turned itself against the Tea Party. This marks the beginning of the comeback of the GOP.

Republican Party Begins Comeback

Nine Shift

While the GOP will lose the White House in 2016, we predict, it will win the Presidency in 2020. The Republican Party turned a big corner this month and began its comeback. The mainstream Republican leadership reversed course. Here''s the story. Instead of capitulating, accommodating, or encouraging the Tea Party (it did all three in the past three years), the GOP mainstream has now turned itself against the Tea Party. This marks the beginning of the comeback of the GOP.

The Top Ten Emerging Technologies of 2016

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

For the past several years, the World Economic Forum (WEF) has published an annual list of the Top Ten Emerging Technologies that would likely have the greatest impact on the world in the years to come. A few weeks ago, the WEF published its 2016 Top Ten list.

#3 Story of the Year 2017

Nine Shift

We predict the political polarization will decline significantly beginning around 2020, just like it did 100 years ago. PEOPLE ARE EXHAUSTED BY CHANGE. That exhaustion is visible politically, but the causes lie in the societal changes that lead to political instability.