Cynefin St Davids Day 2019 (2 of 5)

Dave Snowden

Its more about staying alert and exploiting patterns of possibilities as they start to become visible. Exaptation is something I have blogged on before, most notably in this series of three posts back in 2012 (like 2019 a Grand Slam Year for Wales).

Cynefin St David’s Day 2019 (4 of 5)

Dave Snowden

The most stable pattern (blue) is the move between complex and complicated, and if needed back again. The post Cynefin St David’s Day 2019 (4 of 5) appeared first on Cognitive Edge.

Cynefin St David’s Day 2019 (5 of 5)

Dave Snowden

It is a domain where naïveté may an advantage as it breaks patterns and see things differently. The post Cynefin St David’s Day 2019 (5 of 5) appeared first on Cognitive Edge

The 2019 National Survey of Online Learning in Canadian Post-secondary Education: Preliminary Results and Implications

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Summary of the presentation The 2019 National Survey of Online Learning in Canadian Post-secondary Education: Preliminary Results and Implications. where it's the large institutions that are growing - we're not seeing that pattern here).

Survey 184

Cynefin St David’s Day 2019 (3 of 5)

Dave Snowden

In the main areas of the complex domain we understand what is possible (or plausible) through parallel safe-to-fail experiments but as patterns emerge and stabilise we enter the liminal domain. The post Cynefin St David’s Day 2019 (3 of 5) appeared first on Cognitive Edge.

Breaking the forest cycle

Dave Snowden

Youth, resilient and diverse stable with multiple varying pathways and patterns of relationships and power sharing balanced. I’ve been meaning to write about the “forest cycle” or the supposed necessity of chaos for some time.

we are dependent on human connection

Harold Jarche

s’ network shows both patterns — a densely connected core along with loosely coupled radial branches reaching out from the core. Human systems thrive on variety and diversity and the Internet has created many more possible connection patterns. What we do not know.

Liminal Cynefin & ‘control’

Dave Snowden

The real value comes in working out what you impose and its shouldn’t be a final solution; the essence of good crisis manage is to create enough constraints that you shift the problem into the liminal area of complexity which means some patterns are starting to emerge.

How We Learned to Prosper Using Fewer Resources

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

In recent years we’ve seen a different pattern emerge: the pattern of more from less.”. What led to the emergence of a more-from-less pattern? Similar patterns are seen in other rich countries.”. “We have finally learned how to tread more lightly on our planet.

A Retreat on narrative – where better to meet than in Ireland

Dave Snowden

The location of the Cynefin Retreat about Narrative in Organisations (Ireland, 18-21 March 2019) is specially chosen for its unique landscape and naturally rugged beauty.

Thinking about design ‘thinking’

Dave Snowden

By distributed I mean using multiple, cognitively, behaviourally and culturally diverse groups working independently of each other (wisdom of crowds) to reduce bias and pattern entrainment as well as to increase the possibility of outlier identification and novelty. .

Design 181

change takes time and effort

Harold Jarche

They see patterns before others do. The idea that generalists and soft skills are needed in the modern workplace seems to be hitting the mainstream of HR, L&D, etc. I have written about these for the past decade or more, and I think it’s necessary to clarify some of the discussion.

Change 217

range & inefficiency

Harold Jarche

But the world, and most fields of human endeavour are complex, or ‘wicked’ “ In wicked domains, the rules of the game are often unclear or incomplete, there may or may not be repetitive patterns and they may not be obvious, and feedback is often delayed, inaccurate, or both.”

Skills 233

Beyond Machine Learning: Capturing Cause-and-Effect Relationships

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

Deep learning is a powerful statistical technique for classifying patterns using large training data sets and multi-layer AI neural networks. Why are there such universal human activity patterns?

Data 210

The Puzzling Personal Productivity Paradox

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

The results were published in a March, 2019 HBR article, What Makes Some People More Productive Than Others. Overall, three key patterns stood out. The past 10-15 years have seen a number of technology advances, from smartphones to machine learning.


Harold Jarche

Philosophic — the discovery of principles which underlie patterns and limits found in data; ordering knowledge into coherent general schemes. To an older culture, a newer one often looks amoral, as morality guides older cultures.

The Current State of AI Adoption

Irving Wladawsky-Berger

AI marketplace adoption will likely follow a typical S curve pattern , - that is, a relatively slow start in the early years, followed by a steep acceleration as the technology matures and firms learn how to best leverage AI for business value. AI is seemingly everywhere.

connected thinking

Harold Jarche

” —Toni Morrison (2019) T he Source of Self-Regard: Selected Essays, Speeches, and Meditations. “… it’s easy, and it’s seductive, to assume that data is really knowledge. Or that information is, indeed, wisdom. Or that knowledge can exist without data.

Data 259

Tools for LXD?

Clark Quinn

We are pattern-matchers and meaning-makers, naturally making up explanations for things that happen. I’ve been thinking on LXD for a while now, not least because I’ve an upcoming workshop at DevLearn in Lost Wages in October.

Tools 198

Dimensions of difficulty

Clark Quinn

Using our brains for complex pattern matching and decision making is likely better than remembering arbitrary and rote steps. As one of the things I talk about, I was exploring the dimensions of difficulty for performance that guide the solutions we should offer.

learning in complexity and chaos

Harold Jarche

Continuous ambiguity exerts continuous pressures on organizations to modify their patterns of interaction, information flow and decision making.

Shaping (As Opposed to Stumbling Into It!) – The Future of Online Learning and Training

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Shaping (As Opposed to Stumbling Into It!) – The Future of Online Learning and Training Stephen Murgatroyd, PhD, Chief Innovation Officer Contact North | Contact Nord These are summary notes of the talk, taken by me, “I’m here because I’m old….

Narrative: exploring the world

Dave Snowden

A goal is to examine ways in which change can be stimulated; entrained patterns of needless difference reduced in their ability to dehumanise human interaction. The first time I saw the Aran Islands was back in the 70s from the Cliffs of Mohr.

Templates for good

Clark Quinn

Merriam-Webster defines it as “a gauge, pattern, or mold used as a guide to the form of a piece being made” In terms of software and business, templates are forms with some of the elements already completed.

from tweets to the blog

Harold Jarche

During the inter-war period, many European democracies fell into a similar pattern of events. Every fortnight I curate some of the observations and insights that were shared on social media. I call these Friday’s Finds.

About face

Doc Searls

A predictable pattern for every new technology is that what can be done will be done—until we see how it goes wrong and try to stop doing tha t. We can know more than we can tell.

Twelvetide 18:09 habits & the soul

Dave Snowden

However with life come habits of personal behaviour, was of working and thinking that become patterns we can’t escape. We are not in detox January and we know an absolute change of that period is sufficient to break a pattern of approaching alcoholism or at least dependency.

The impacts of Data Science, Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence on Learning and Development

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Applications/Benefits Personalization Personalization - Customization - Examples - accounting for demographics, learning history, work experience, patterns of behaviour, requests or needs, etc., Summary of a talk by Alan Bostakian, Senior Analyst, TD Bank - Future Ready project Why?

Data 141

Your Art, My Art

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

But more, the design of the cathedral also represents an attempt to find that fine point of balance where the creations of humanity mirror the patterns of nature.

List 182

media and massages

Harold Jarche

The older, traditional ideas of private, isolated thoughts and actions — the patterns of mechanistic technologies — are very seriously threatened by new methods of instantaneous electric information retrieval” —Marshall McLuhan, 1967.

Infomediaries - A Significant Untapped Opportunity

John Hagel

And the more customers they serve, the more helpful they can be to each customer, because they can start to see patterns, and become more proactive by suggesting things to a customer based on an observation that other people like them have derived significant value from some resource that the customer has not even asked about. In a book I wrote 20 years ago, I identified an opportunity that has yet to be addressed, but is becoming more and more attractive.

Learning Electron - Part 2

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

Continuing from Part 1 The story so far In Part 1 I covered the basics of Electron up to and including building executable applications from the Node.js application.

Module 221

Narrative: paying the piper

Dave Snowden

Yes there are types of pattern and behaviour which simply have to be stopped, but underlying narratives of neglect manifesting in racist attitudes and fears are not the same thing as being a racist per se.

Twelvetide 18:11 the numinous

Dave Snowden

Now that returns me to an earlier theme about the importance of children’s literature to settling the patterns or dispositions of ethical behaviour.

Does God Exist?

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

When we look at random things, we see patterns in them. Human brains are essentially pattern-recognition devices. So it's no surprise that we recognize patterns. Église Saint-Jean-Baptiste de Saint-Jean-de-Luz, photo by the author.

Shaming, safety, & misconceptions

Clark Quinn

Our errors don’t tend to be random (there is some randomness), but instead are patterned. Another twitter debate , another blog post. As an outgrowth of a #lrnchat debate, a discussion arose around whether making errors in learning could be a source of shaming. This wasn’t about the learners, however, being afraid of being shamed. Instead it was about whether the designers would feel proscribed from making real errors because of their expectation of learner’s emotions.

Notes On "Global Guidelines: Ethics in Learning Analytics"

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

predictive models (which suggest potential completion rates, for example) social network analyses (which examine possible relationships between networks of individuals and groups) relationship mining (which analyses links between sets of data patterns such as student success rates), dashboards(data visualisation which provides a mean of delivering feedback to educators and learners).

What is Digital Literacy?

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

These include pattern recognition, semantics, context-awareness, use or application, explanation and inference, and change. So (for example) I can see patterns others don't see, express myself in interesting ways, be able to predict events, etc. Short response to a questionnaire.

The last mile

Euen Semple

Up to eight or ten deliveries in a day, many of them in remote areas with windy country lanes, or in Central London with it’s gloriously random patterns of roads. Whenever I say that I am setting out on a career in truck driving people invariably say something like “you must be mad - that is all going to be automated soon”. Err…no…. Maybe the long haul stuff between Regional Distribution Centres, maybe in American cities with their more regimented grid systems, but everything else?

Wittgenstein and Connectivism

Stephen Downes: Half an Hour

That is why while I talk about patterns of connectivity and neural plasticity, I also take pains to depict connectivism as a non-representationalist theory, more similar to the 'direct perception' of JJ Gibson.

Artificial Intelligence for Good: A Few Good Articles To Read #AI4Good

Beth Kanter

I shared a few more examples of AI-driven fundraising here ) 3) Campaign Content: Examples of nonprofits using Quilt.AI , which takes every organization’s digital imprint and lets a nonprofit to better understand data patterns in large amount of data to predict changes in human behavior.

The middle

Euen Semple

I am clearly making sweeping generalisations, and people in any group in society can face problems, but this is a pattern I have seen played out over and over. I have often told this story of being a student at St Andrew's and then working as a labourer in Glasgow during the holidays so forgive me if you have heard it before. At St Andrew's I encountered lots of old money people, people who had always had money, didn't think about money, and had loads of confidence.

Groups 109

Capital T Truth

Euen Semple

I have just started reading The Patterning Instinct by Jeremy Lent, described as "A cognitive history of man's search for meaning." " - Right up my street! Reading the opening chapters on how language developed, how communal thinking came to be a thing, and the anthropological approaches currently being combined with recent advances in neuroscience, made me realise yet again what a malleable thing the truth is.